GET DAILY SIGNALSStitch Fix (SFIX, $20.06) shares falter after-hours, after beating fiscal Q4 results but offering softer guidance on Q1
Shares of Stitch Fix slumped by as much as -12%after-hours, following the company’s latest quarterly earnings release. Although the company's quarterly results surpassed estimates, its softer forecast on future quarter hurt the stock price.
The online personal styling service’s fiscal fourth quarter earnings came in at 7 cents per share, beating analysts’ expectations of 4 cents a share.
Revenue surged +36% year-over-year to $432.1 million, which is slightly higher than the $432 million expected.
Stitch Fix’s active client base grew +18% year over year, to 3.2 million people - about in-line with the 3.23 million analysts were expecting (based on FactSet poll).
However, what probably led to its shares declining was its indication of a “softer” outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2020. For the first quarter, Stitch Fix is expecting sales to range between $438 million and $442 million – below the Street forecast of $451 million. Stitch Fix is expecting a softer growth for the first quarter compared to the full-year growth, citing their successful summer products’ lower average unit retails and average order values, coupled with less marketing spend in late Q4 ’19 leading to fewer clients at the start of Q1 ’20.
The company predicts that annual sales would range between $1.9 billion and $1.93 billion, while analysts have been expecting $1.91 billion.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
SFIX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026
SFIX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 37 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SFIX as a result. In 81 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The 10-day moving average for SFIX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +3.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in 215 of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 50 of 56 cases where SFIX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
SFIX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.817) is normal, around the industry mean (1.858). SFIX has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-19.571) as compared to the industry average of (12.576). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.300) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.292) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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