Stitch Fix (SFIX, $20.06) shares falter after-hours, after beating fiscal Q4 results but offering softer guidance on Q1
Shares of Stitch Fix slumped by as much as -12%after-hours, following the company’s latest quarterly earnings release. Although the company's quarterly results surpassed estimates, its softer forecast on future quarter hurt the stock price.
The online personal styling service’s fiscal fourth quarter earnings came in at 7 cents per share, beating analysts’ expectations of 4 cents a share.
Revenue surged +36% year-over-year to $432.1 million, which is slightly higher than the $432 million expected.
Stitch Fix’s active client base grew +18% year over year, to 3.2 million people - about in-line with the 3.23 million analysts were expecting (based on FactSet poll).
However, what probably led to its shares declining was its indication of a “softer” outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2020. For the first quarter, Stitch Fix is expecting sales to range between $438 million and $442 million – below the Street forecast of $451 million. Stitch Fix is expecting a softer growth for the first quarter compared to the full-year growth, citing their successful summer products’ lower average unit retails and average order values, coupled with less marketing spend in late Q4 ’19 leading to fewer clients at the start of Q1 ’20.
The company predicts that annual sales would range between $1.9 billion and $1.93 billion, while analysts have been expecting $1.91 billion.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
SFIX in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on August 12, 2026
SFIX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 28 cases where SFIX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in of 258 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SFIX as a result. In of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SFIX turned negative on August 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SFIX moved below its 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SFIX entered a downward trend on August 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.358) is normal, around the industry mean (3.483). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.508). SFIX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.929). SFIX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.357) is also within normal values, averaging (0.785).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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