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Aug 15, 2023
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS

Stocks such as $NVDA, $AVGO, $TXN, $AMD, $LRCX, and others drove the major indices up by approximately 1% yesterday.

Yesterday, stocks in the semiconductor industry surged between 3% to 8%, thereby propelling the indices into the green zone by approximately 1%. However, this seems more like a rebound rather than a trend reversal. Signals for stocks within this sector can be observed on our trading bot: Swing-Trader-1-5K-per-position-Medium-Volatility-Stocks-for-Active-Trading-TA-FA.

Notable Companies Prominent companies within this group include NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE: TSM), Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN), Intel Corp (NASDAQ: INTC), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ: QCOM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT), Analog Devices (NASDAQ: ADI), and Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ: LRCX).

Industry Description The semiconductor industry encompasses the production of all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips find application in a wide array of electronic devices, such as computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPS systems. Noteworthy players in this sector include Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcom. Semiconductor companies generally thrive during periods of robust economic growth, spurring further research and development within the industry. This, in turn, contributes to productivity and economic expansion. The near future is anticipated to witness a heightened demand for semiconductor products, driven by the proliferation of technologies like 5G, autonomous vehicles, the Internet of Things (IoT), and various AI-driven electronics. With these promising prospects comes intensified competition. In 2015, the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) ranked the U.S. semiconductor industry as the second most competitive among 2,882 U.S. industries classified as manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is $28.2 billion. Market caps for tickers in this group range from $13.4 thousand to $1.1 trillion. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at $1.1 trillion, while the lowest valued company is CYBL at $13.4 thousand.

8/12/23 7:31 AM: NVIDIA (NVDA, $408.55) witnessed a $94.5 billion market cap decrease this week. 8/10/23 9:03 PM: NVIDIA (NVDA, $425.54) experienced a market cap drop of $51.7 billion. 8/5/23 7:01 AM: NVIDIA (NVDA, $446.8) saw a $51.1 billion market cap decrease this week.

High and Low Price Notable News The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -3.47%. Over the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5.01%. DISPF experienced the highest price growth at 19.25%, while SKYT experienced the largest fall at -19.43%.

8/12/23 7:31 AM: NVIDIA (NVDA, $408.55) emerged as a top loser this week, declining by -8.56%. 8/12/23 7:31 AM: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD, $107.57) was among the top losers this week, declining by -7.12%. A downtrend reversal is expected. 8/12/23 7:31 AM: Micron Technology (MU, $64.37) also emerged as a top loser this week, declining by -7.92%.

Volume The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -3.76%. Over the same industry, the average monthly volume growth was -2.34%, and the average quarterly volume growth was 1.47%.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings The average fundamental analysis ratings, on a scale of 1 (best) to 100 (worst), are as follows:

Valuation Rating: 56 P/E Growth Rating: 50 Price Growth Rating: 53 SMR Rating: 63 Profit Risk Rating: 62 Seasonality Score: -23 (-100 to +100)

NVDA: -3.99% Downtrend, Three Consecutive Days of Decline NVDA has entered a -3.99% downtrend, experiencing a decline for three consecutive days starting on August 11, 2023. This persistent decrease is seen as a bearish indicator. Investors should monitor the stock closely for potential further declines. Analyzing instances where NVDA declined for three days, historical data indicates that in 172 out of 259 cases, the price continued to drop within the following month. The probability of a sustained downward trend is at 66%.

AVGO: -2.46% Downtrend, Three Consecutive Days of Slide AVGO is currently in a -2.46% downtrend, slipping for three consecutive days starting on August 11, 2023. This pattern of consecutive decline is regarded as bearish. Investors are advised to keep watch for potential ongoing decreases. Based on historical instances of AVGO declining for three days, 123 out of 246 cases resulted in further price decline within the subsequent month, indicating a 50% likelihood of a continued downward trend.

TXN: Momentum Indicator Turns Negative, Indicating Potential Downward Shift On July 26, 2023, TXN's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, signaling a potential shift into a new downward move. Traders might consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Analyzing 103 similar instances where the indicator turned negative, in 65 out of 103 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. The probability of a decline stands at 63%.

AMD: MACD Histogram Crosses Below Signal Line AMD's Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turned negative on August 09, 2023, suggesting a potential future stock decline. Analyzing 43 instances of the indicator turning negative, 40 out of 43 cases resulted in subsequent stock drops. This translates to a 90% likelihood of a downward move.

LRCX: Downtrend, Potential Price Decline After Breaking Higher Bollinger Band LRCX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 27, 2023. This could indicate an impending stock drop as the price returns below the upper band and towards the middle band. Investors might consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Analyzing 43 similar instances of the stock breaking above the upper band, in 32 out of 43 cases, the stock fell thereafter. The likelihood of success is estimated at 74%.

Related Ticker: NVDA, AVGO, TXN, AMD, LRCX, AMAT, MU

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


NVDA's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 1 day

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for NVDA's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 295 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 279 of 334 cases where NVDA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In 53 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.

NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (21.308) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.894). P/E Ratio (25.416) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.337). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.478) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.212) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 197.88B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.88T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.88T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21%. ALMU experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while INTC experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 62%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 32% and the average quarterly volume growth was -55%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 25 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2788 San Tomas Expressway
Phone
+1 408 486-2000
Employees
42000
Web
https://www.nvidia.com
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