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Apr 14, 2019
Strong upward trend for Twilio (TWLO) looks to continue

Strong upward trend for Twilio (TWLO) looks to continue

Enterprise software firm has been trending higher over the last four months and it has had one of the best price performances of all stocks over the past year. The company scores a 99 on Investor’s Business Daily’s Relative Price Strength Rating and that is the highest score you can get.

Looking at the daily chart we see that a trend channel has formed from the low in December. The upper rail was formed by the highs from February and March. The lower rail hits the low from late December and early January and now this past week.

The daily stochastic readings didn’t quite reach oversold territory on this latest pullback, but they did get close. The indicators also just made a bullish crossover on April 10.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on April 9 and that signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. The signal showed a confidence level of 89% and the previous signals on Twilio have been successful 83% of the time.

Twilio’s fundamentals are very interesting. The company’s earnings have been flat for the last three years, but they jumped by 233% in the most recent quarter. Sales have increased at an annual rate of 53% per year over the last three years and they were up 77% in the most recent quarterly report.

Unfortunately, the company’s management efficiency measurements aren’t very good. The return on equity is only 2.9% and the profit margin is only 1.1%.

Related Ticker: TWLO

Aroon Indicator for TWLO shows an upward move is likely

TWLO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 08, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 192 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 192 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TWLO as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TWLO just turned positive on July 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where TWLO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWLO advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TWLO moved out of overbought territory on June 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWLO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TWLO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.263) is normal, around the industry mean (14.279). TWLO has a moderately high P/E Ratio (331.212) as compared to the industry average of (71.237). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.402) is also within normal values, averaging (1.890). TWLO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (6.549) is also within normal values, averaging (135.479).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWLO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 29.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 2.86T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.86T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. BAND experienced the highest price growth at 27%, while ALAR experienced the biggest fall at -61%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: Large-Cap Technology Stocks
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General Information

a provider of cloud-based communications platform

Industry ComputerCommunications

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Industry
Packaged Software
Address
101 Spear Street
Phone
+1 415 390-2337
Employees
5867
Web
https://www.twilio.com
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