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published in Blogs
Jul 24, 2023

Swing Trader's Secret: Sector Rotation Strategy Yields 30.78% ROI on $HOV

Astounding Returns from HOV's Sector Rotation Strategy

A stunning development has been observed in the trading realm. The Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy, based on Technical Analysis (TA) & Fundamental Analysis (FA), has generated a staggering return of 30.78% for HOV, becoming a subject of great interest in the finance industry.

On the forefront of this success lies a profound utilization of the Aroon Indicator, a technical analysis tool adept at identifying shifts in market trends. As of today, the Aroon Indicator has signaled an upward trend for HOV. This is an exciting progression as it suggests that the upward momentum for HOV is not just continuing, but also strengthening.

Historical performance data bolsters this positive outlook. Out of the previous 250 instances where HOV's Aroon Indicator entered an upward trend, the price has risen further within the following month in 220 cases. This suggests a favorable likelihood of a continued upward trend - with the odds standing impressively high at 88%.

This potent strategy melds TA and FA, taking advantage of the strengths of each approach. While the TA, embodied by the Aroon Indicator, signals timely entries and exits, the FA adds an extra layer of security by ensuring a strong fundamental basis for investment.

In essence, the Sector Rotation Strategy empowers swing traders to pinpoint sectors that are likely to outperform the market, thus potentially generating outsized returns. This is a powerful strategy where shifts in market sectors are used to determine where to invest for optimal returns.

The robust performance of the Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy offers a testament to the efficacy of combining technical and fundamental analyses in investment decisions. With HOV’s successful performance as a case in point, it's clear that this approach can offer investors an edge in the financial markets.

The achievements of the Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy in generating such high returns for HOV provide an insightful case study for traders and investors alike. This winning strategy offers the potential for substantial profits, reaffirming its place in the toolkit of shrewd investors looking for high-yield opportunities.

The powerful combination of TA and FA employed by the Sector Rotation Strategy can provide notable gains, as evidenced by the extraordinary return of 30.78% for HOV. The high probability of a continued upward trend, coupled with the advantageous use of the Aroon Indicator, underscores the potency of this investment approach.

Related Ticker: HOV

HOV sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

HOV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 15, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for HOV moved out of overbought territory on September 12, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HOV as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

HOV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for HOV entered a downward trend on August 29, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for HOV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 01, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HOV advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HOV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HOV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.784) is normal, around the industry mean (5.750). P/E Ratio (4.794) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.019). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.535). HOV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (0.252) is also within normal values, averaging (71.797).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 5.12B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 36.98B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 36.98B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. PSMMF experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while HOV experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: -19 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a constructor of single-family detached homes, attached town homes and condominiums

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
90 Matawan Road
Phone
+1 732 747-7800
Employees
1866
Web
https://www.khov.com
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HOV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HOV has been closely correlated with TMHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HOV jumps, then TMHC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To HOV
1D Price
Change %
HOV100%
-0.53%
TMHC - HOV
73%
Closely correlated
+0.05%
TOL - HOV
73%
Closely correlated
-0.14%
LGIH - HOV
71%
Closely correlated
-0.79%
MHO - HOV
70%
Closely correlated
-0.53%
KBH - HOV
70%
Closely correlated
+0.30%
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