Swing Trader's Sector Rotation Yields 13.14% Gain for UMC, Bullish Trend Analysis
Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 13.14% for UMC
UMC has been hitting its stride, showcasing positive financial performance by entering a notable +1.36% uptrend. This encouraging trend, observed as of June 15, 2023, signifies the third consecutive day of UMC's price advancement. This consistent upward movement is conventionally viewed as a bullish sign within the trading ecosystem, painting a hopeful picture for future prospects of this stock.
The Sector Rotation Strategy, a swing trading approach combining Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA), has notably reaped a remarkable 13.14% for UMC. This strategy effectively positions the portfolio based on the economic cycle's stages, leveraging insights from TA to identify promising entry and exit points, and FA to evaluate the inherent value of the stocks.
There's ample historical evidence to inspire confidence in this bullish trend. Data from similar instances where UMC experienced a three-day growth trajectory reveal an interesting pattern. Out of 238 such cases, the stock price continued to climb further in the subsequent month in 168 instances. This translates into a compelling 71% chance of sustained growth, an optimistic statistic for existing shareholders and potential investors alike.
This consistent growth pattern, backed by a robust strategy, has helped UMC exhibit a solid performance, with the potential to realize more gains in the near term. By successfully navigating the market's ebb and flow through the Sector Rotation Strategy, UMC has demonstrated a well-executed approach that perfectly blends the tactical dynamism of TA with the strategic foresight offered by FA.
The forward momentum indicated by the three-day uptrend and the 71% odds of further growth points towards a bright future for UMC. It is a vivid testimony to the effective implementation of the Swing Trader's Sector Rotation Strategy, offering substantial gains and unlocking new growth avenues.
This accomplishment heralds a promising era for UMC and serves as an illustrative case for implementing a well-rounded strategy that merges the strength of both technical and fundamental analyses. Investors and market watchers would do well to keep an eye on this stock's future growth, which is presently soaring on the wings of a carefully orchestrated and successful strategy.
UMC's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for UMC moved out of oversold territory on August 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 16 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UMC advanced for three days, in of 248 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 222 cases where UMC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UMC as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UMC turned negative on September 20, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
UMC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for UMC moved below the 200-day moving average on August 31, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UMC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
UMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 30, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.722) is normal, around the industry mean (7.929). P/E Ratio (7.008) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.587). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.567) is also within normal values, averaging (2.336). UMC's Dividend Yield (0.083) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (2.214) is also within normal values, averaging (72.527).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufcaturer of micro chips, semiconductors, and components for liquid crystal display production
Industry Semiconductors
UMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UMC has been closely correlated with ASX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UMC jumps, then ASX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMC | 100% | +0.71% | ||
| ASX - UMC | 75% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| ASML - UMC | 75% Closely correlated | -0.17% | ||
| TSM - UMC | 74% Closely correlated | +0.70% | ||
| SWKS - UMC | 72% Closely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| AMAT - UMC | 72% Closely correlated | +0.31% | ||
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