Swing Trader's TA&FA: TROW's Sector Rotation Boasts 25.23% Returns!
Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 25.23% for TROW
The implementation of the Sector Rotation Strategy through both technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA) has proven incredibly profitable for TROW (T. Rowe Price Group), with a substantial gain of 25.23%.
A robust upward trend has been identified in TROW's recent performance. A pivotal event occurred on June 22, 2023, when TROW's price notably broke its lower Bollinger Band, a commonly used tool in technical analysis. When a price breaks through this lower band, it often signifies a potential reversal point, hinting toward an upcoming rise in stock price.
Anticipating the pattern of such occurrences, traders might find it strategically beneficial to consider purchasing the stock or exploring call options. Bollinger Bands are excellent market indicators and the recent move suggests an imminent swing to the upside.
Historical trends solidify this perspective. In the case of TROW, 26 out of 34 instances where the price broke its lower Bollinger Band have been followed by a price rise in the subsequent month. This statistic yields a probability of 76% for a continued upward trend, presenting a highly optimistic outlook for the stock in the near future.
This valuable data aids traders to capitalize on potential bullish trends, providing an opportunity to take advantage of the expected increase in TROW's value. The significant 25.23% generated by the sector rotation strategy demonstrates the effectiveness of this methodology, particularly when combined with both technical and fundamental analysis.
Investors using these predictive indicators and historical data can make informed decisions about when to enter or exit a position, ensuring they can benefit from any swing in price. As TROW continues to exhibit strong performance, it is an ideal candidate for such a strategy, promising substantial returns for savvy traders.
TROW in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 26, 2023
TROW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 32 cases where TROW's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TROW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TROW advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 20, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TROW as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TROW turned negative on September 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TROW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TROW entered a downward trend on September 15, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TROW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TROW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.521) is normal, around the industry mean (3.439). P/E Ratio (15.528) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.512). TROW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (20.425) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.593). Dividend Yield (0.047) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.748) is also within normal values, averaging (78.137).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of investment management services
Industry InvestmentManagers
TROW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TROW has been closely correlated with BEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TROW jumps, then BEN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TROW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROW | 100% | +0.70% | ||
| BEN - TROW | 84% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| JHG - TROW | 80% Closely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| BLK - TROW | 80% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
| IVZ - TROW | 79% Closely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| KKR - TROW | 73% Closely correlated | -1.52% | ||
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