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Jun 28, 2023

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 11.75% for FE

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 11.75% for FE

FE's RSI Oscillator Ascending Out of Oversold Territory

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) Oscillator for FE, a leading energy company, has recently moved out of the oversold territory, signaling a potential shift in the stock's trend from downward to upward. This development presents an opportunity for traders to consider buying the stock or call options, as it indicates a potential upward movement in the stock price.

Using advanced analytics, analyzed 25 similar instances when FE's RSI Oscillator left the oversold territory in the past. In an impressive 18 out of these 25 cases, the stock price subsequently moved higher. Based on historical patterns, this suggests a favorable probability of approximately 72% for FE's stock to experience an upward trajectory.

The Swing Trader's sector rotation strategy, incorporating both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), has proven to be successful for FE. This strategy involves identifying opportunities for profit by analyzing price trends, market indicators, and sector-specific factors. By utilizing the RSI Oscillator as a key technical indicator, traders can gain insights into the stock's momentum and potential reversal points.

Sector rotation strategies aim to capitalize on the cyclical nature of the market, where different sectors outperform or underperform at different stages of the economic cycle. This approach allows traders to allocate their investments strategically and potentially achieve higher returns by investing in sectors that are expected to perform well in the current economic climate.

In the case of FE, the recent movement of the RSI Oscillator out of oversold territory suggests a potential turnaround in the stock's performance. This can be attributed to various factors, such as improving financials, positive industry developments, or favorable market conditions for the energy sector.

It is important for traders to conduct their own due diligence and consider additional factors before making investment decisions. While historical data can provide insights into potential market movements, it is not a guarantee of future performance. Traders should also consider the overall market conditions, sector-specific news, and company-specific fundamentals to make well-informed investment choices.

The Swing Trader's sector rotation strategy, combining technical and fundamental analysis, has generated a notable return of 11.75% for FE. This highlights the potential effectiveness of this strategy in identifying profitable opportunities within specific sectors. Traders who actively monitor market trends and employ such strategies may benefit from the insights provided by the Swing Trader and similar analytical approaches.

The recent upward movement of FE's RSI Oscillator out of oversold territory indicates a potential shift in the stock's trend. Traders may find this an opportune moment to consider buying FE's stock or call options, with historical data suggesting a favorable probability of upward movement. However, it is essential to conduct thorough research and consider various factors before making investment decisions. The Swing Trader's sector rotation strategy has demonstrated its effectiveness in generating returns for FE, further underscoring the value of incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis in trading approaches.

Related Ticker: FE

FE in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 07, 2024

FE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 35 cases where FE's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 17, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FE as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FE just turned positive on October 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where FE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for FE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FE advanced for three days, in of 359 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where FE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FE entered a downward trend on October 21, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.112) is normal, around the industry mean (1.714). P/E Ratio (19.577) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.466). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.280) is also within normal values, averaging (2.620). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.711) is also within normal values, averaging (3.109).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nextera Energy Inc (null:NEE), Southern Company (The) (null:SO), PG&E Corp (null:PCG), Dominion Energy (null:D), NRG Energy (null:NRG).

Industry description

Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electric Utilities Industry is 18.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 500 to 131.17B. NEE holds the highest valuation in this group at 131.17B. The lowest valued company is SLTZ at 500.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. IESFY experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while CPYYF experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -32%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a distributor of electricity and provides energy-related services

Industry ElectricUtilities

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electric Utilities
Address
76 South Main Street
Phone
+1 800 736-3402
Employees
12042
Web
https://www.firstenergycorp.com
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