Swing Trading: Achieve 15.9% Return on NIO with Long-Short Equity
Swing Trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 15.9% for NIO
In recent financial developments, an outstanding 15.9% gain has been observed for the Chinese electric vehicle company, NIO, a testament to the effectiveness of a swing trader's long-short equity strategy incorporating both Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA).
For the uninitiated, the long-short equity strategy refers to a financial investment approach where investors buy shares they expect will appreciate (go long) and sell shares they predict will depreciate (short-sell), aiming to profit from an anticipated price movement.
Swing traders, in particular, are specialists in leveraging the oscillations in market prices. Their style uniquely combines the quick pace of day trading with the more deliberate strategy of buy-and-hold investing, allowing them to profit from short-term price movements, which are typically based on shifts in investor sentiment rather than long-term fundamental company changes.
Technical Analysis (TA) plays a significant role in this strategy, allowing traders to predict future price trends by studying past market data, primarily price and volume. In this scenario, a key TA tool, the Aroon Indicator, suggests that an upward move for NIO is likely. The Aroon Indicator is a versatile tool that helps to identify changes in a price trend, signaling potential bullish or bearish reversals. The recent upward trend signified by this indicator implies a positive growth trajectory for NIO, forecasting lucrative gains for investors employing a swing trading strategy.
Simultaneously, Fundamental Analysis (FA) complements TA by evaluating a company's intrinsic value through the close scrutiny of various factors such as earnings, revenue, and the competitive industry environment. For NIO, the FA indicates a robust financial footing and strong potential for growth, aligning well with the bullish signs from the Aroon Indicator.
This dual approach, therefore, provides a comprehensive perspective on NIO's market position, combining the numerical precision of TA with the in-depth business insights from FA. Such an approach is the basis of the strong returns swing traders have recently reaped from NIO, with a remarkable 15.9% gain.
The recent financial achievements of NIO highlight the efficacy of employing a hybrid long-short equity strategy that combines both Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis. The interplay of these elements provides swing traders a valuable advantage, enabling them to accurately anticipate market trends and yield substantial returns. NIO's present success underscores the dynamism of the electric vehicle market, showing promising prospects for investors ready to harness the power of intelligent swing trading strategies.
NIO sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
NIO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 19, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NIO as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NIO moved below its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NIO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NIO entered a downward trend on September 08, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NIO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.918) is normal, around the industry mean (6.824). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.822). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.686). NIO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (2.183) is also within normal values, averaging (52.364).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NIO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of electric cars
Industry MotorVehicles
NIO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NIO has been closely correlated with XPEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NIO jumps, then XPEV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NIO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIO | 100% | +3.16% | ||
| XPEV - NIO | 79% Closely correlated | -6.52% | ||
| LI - NIO | 68% Closely correlated | +0.52% | ||
| NIU - NIO | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.47% | ||
| RIVN - NIO | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| LCID - NIO | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
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