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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 03, 2021

Tellurian (TELL, $5.40) stock rose, on 10-year deal with Vitol

Shares of Tellurian  climbed, following news of natural gas company finalizing a 10-year deal to provide energy trader Vitol with LNG from its proposed liquefaction facility terminal in Louisiana.

The deal, valued at at about $12 billion in revenue over the deal period, is for  3 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of LNG.

Last week, Tellurian also inked a 10-year agreement with commodity trader Gunvor Group for 3 MTPA of LNG. The LNG would be delivered from the proposed liquefaction facility Driftwood LNG, near Lake Charles, Louisiana in the U.S. Gulf Coast.

Related Ticker: TELL

Momentum Indicator for TELL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

TELL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on May 30, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TELL turned negative on May 30, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TELL moved below its 50-day moving average on May 25, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TELL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 30, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TELL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TELL entered a downward trend on May 30, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TELL advanced for three days, in of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TELL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TELL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.055) is normal, around the industry mean (5.892). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.477). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (55.806). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.089) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.202) is also within normal values, averaging (152.639).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TELL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (NYSE:PXD), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Marathon Oil Corp (NYSE:MRO), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 120.16B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 120.16B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. AXAS experienced the highest price growth at 457%, while EWPMF experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -53%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -50% and the average quarterly volume growth was -95%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: ENERGY
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of natural gas projects

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
1201 Louisiana Street
Phone
+1 832 962-4000
Employees
171
Web
https://www.tellurianinc.com
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TELL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TELL has been loosely correlated with NOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TELL jumps, then NOG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TELL
1D Price
Change %
TELL100%
+0.83%
NOG - TELL
51%
Loosely correlated
-1.68%
OVV - TELL
49%
Loosely correlated
-0.50%
APA - TELL
49%
Loosely correlated
-1.43%
MGY - TELL
49%
Loosely correlated
-0.77%
CRGY - TELL
49%
Loosely correlated
-2.59%
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