Tesla in a clear downtrend ahead of earnings
The last four months have not been good for Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA). The stock has fallen from near $380 a share to below $255 at the low in March. A trend line has formed that connects the highs from December, January, and April. The stock got very close to the line in February as well.
The trend line is in close proximity to the 50-day moving average at this point and that could make it twice as hard for the stock to move back up.
The company is set to report earnings on April 24 and that is a potential driver that could get the stock out of its downtrend, but that would be asking a lot. Over the last three years, Tesla has continued to lose money and that means it doesn’t really have a return on equity and its profit margin is -1.2%. The one area that has been a plus for the company has been its sales growth.
There is also the battle going on with hedge fund manager David Einhorn and Tesla’s founder Elon Musk. Einhorn has made a sizable bearish bet on Tesla’s decline and he has been very vocal about what he sees as the company’s shortcomings.
The Tickeron AI Prediction Tool generated a bearish signal for Tesla on April 16. That prediction had a confidence level of 77% and past predictions on the stock have been successful 78% of the time. The signal calls for a drop of at least 4% in the next month.
TSLA sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for TSLA moved above the 200-day moving average on September 16, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on September 05, 2025. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA moved above its 50-day moving average on August 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 276 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (17.762) is normal, around the industry mean (4.170). P/E Ratio (253.488) is within average values for comparable stocks, (269.139). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.582) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.875). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (16.155) is also within normal values, averaging (36.540).
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General Information
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles
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