Tesla in a clear downtrend ahead of earnings
The last four months have not been good for Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA). The stock has fallen from near $380 a share to below $255 at the low in March. A trend line has formed that connects the highs from December, January, and April. The stock got very close to the line in February as well.
The trend line is in close proximity to the 50-day moving average at this point and that could make it twice as hard for the stock to move back up.
The company is set to report earnings on April 24 and that is a potential driver that could get the stock out of its downtrend, but that would be asking a lot. Over the last three years, Tesla has continued to lose money and that means it doesn’t really have a return on equity and its profit margin is -1.2%. The one area that has been a plus for the company has been its sales growth.
There is also the battle going on with hedge fund manager David Einhorn and Tesla’s founder Elon Musk. Einhorn has made a sizable bearish bet on Tesla’s decline and he has been very vocal about what he sees as the company’s shortcomings.
The Tickeron AI Prediction Tool generated a bearish signal for Tesla on April 16. That prediction had a confidence level of 77% and past predictions on the stock have been successful 78% of the time. The signal calls for a drop of at least 4% in the next month.
TSLA in +2.19% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on June 22, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on June 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on July 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.083) is normal, around the industry mean (9.340). P/E Ratio (371.605) is within average values for comparable stocks, (582.359). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.786) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.891). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (14.620) is also within normal values, averaging (13.011).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles
Advertisement