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Tesla (TSLA,$173.44) analyzing technical analysis and patterns and earnings

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Allana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.

TSLA sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

TSLA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 16, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 80%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In 61 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

TSLA moved above its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +5.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 271 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 190 of 247 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.287) is normal, around the industry mean (8.779). P/E Ratio (331.556) is within average values for comparable stocks, (579.741). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.281) is also within normal values, averaging (3.035). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.039). TSLA's P/S Ratio (12.225) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.589).