Tesla (TSLA, $405.60) drops -20%, as investors grab profits
On Friday, Tesla shares plunged more than -20% from their record high Monday, as investors continued to realize profits on the stock’s skyrocketing climb this year.
The electric carmaker’s stock is up +355% year to date and +748% over the past 12 months. Alongwith several investors probably trying to take the profits, another factor behind Friday’s decline was Friday the two-day dive by the entire technology sector.
Also, on Wednesday, investment firm Baillie Gifford, the largest institutional investor in Tesla, announced it had reduced its stake to below 5% in line with its portfolio guidelines. According to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, the U.K.-based investment group now owns less than 5% of Tesla, down from 6.32% (according to data from FactSet).
Tickeron's analysis showed that TSLA in -14.33% Downtrend, sliding for three consecutive days on September 03, 2020
As a Bearish sign, keep an eye on this company's ticker for future decline. Considering data from situations where TSLA declined for three days, in 188 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 69%.
Current price $404.75 is above $299.82 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 08/04/20 - 09/03/20, the price experienced a +37% Uptrend, while the week of 08/27/20 - 09/03/20 shows a -9% Downtrend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 26 of 41 cases where TSLA's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 63%.
The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 44 of 64 cases where TSLA's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 69%.
The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 29 of 45 cases where TSLA's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 64%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 12, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 48 of 65 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where TSLA's MACD histogram became positive, in 32 of 44 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 65%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.27.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (38.41) is slightly higher than the industry average of (-1.12). TSLA's P/E Ratio (1059.07) is considerably higher than the industry average of (198.05). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.64) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.40). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.88) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.69) is also within normal values, averaging (35635.43).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Aroon Indicator for TSLA shows an upward move is likely
TSLA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on December 24, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 290 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 290 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSLA moved out of overbought territory on December 18, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on December 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.142). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.218). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (78.580).
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a manufacturer of electric sports cars
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