Tesla shares was downgraded by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas lowered the rating on the electric carmaker’s stock to underweight from equal-weight. Jonas also slashed his price target to $650 from $680.
Although Jonas was optimistic on Tesla’s role in the adoption of electric vehicles, he also thought that the recent rise in the share price to over $1,000 may not capture some emerging risks. Many of these risks, according to Jonas, are long-term, and could potentially affect fundamentals (growth and profitability) in a “materially negative way." The analyst said, "Among the many risks facing Tesla at this time, we would rank risks related to U.S.-China relations at the very top”.
Goldman Sachs analysts downgraded Tesla to neutral , as shares were trading above their upwardly revised 12-month price target of $950. "We'd look to become more positive on Tesla stock again if we had more confidence in the near to intermediate term trajectory in fundamentals, or if valuation became more attractive," Goldman analyst Mark Delaney said.
TSLA's Aroon indicator reaches into Uptrend on June 12, 2020
For traders, this could mean going long on the ticker or exploring call options in the next month. In 210 of 270 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Current price $935.28 is above $835.10 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 05/12/20 - 06/12/20, the price experienced a +16% Uptrend. During the week of 06/05/20 - 06/12/20, the stock enjoyed a +6% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 26, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 47 of 68 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where TSLA's MACD histogram became positive, in 32 of 44 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 27 of 39 cases where TSLA's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 69%.
The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day Decline, the ticker is projected to fall further. Considering data from situations where TSLA declined for three days, in 198 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 71%.
The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 30 of 43 cases where TSLA's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 70%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.15 to 1.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (18.86) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.68). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.46). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.85). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (2.02) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.01) is also within normal values, averaging (6.78).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 32 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSLA moved out of overbought territory on October 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on October 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 306 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.019). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.031). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.553). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (76.807).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles