This Could Change the Way You Invest in the Tech Sector
Changes are afoot for tech companies on the US stock market. S&P Dow Jones Indices and the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) have announced that they will create a new sector for tech, media, and telecom companies on September 28 – the first categorization changes for tech companies since 1999.
S&P and MSCI are eliminating the current Telecoms sector, replacing it with a new subdivision called Communications Services. Communications Services will include companies providing communication platforms, as well as media operators, ultimately forming the largest sector on the S&P 500.
Additionally, the new subdivision will integrate companies from the Consumer Discretionary sector that are presently classified under the Media and Internet and Direct Marketing Retail umbrellas. Some companies listed under Information Technology will also transition to the new sector.
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The changes aim to reflect an era of immune-to-classification fluidity for some of the world’s largest tech companies – something that was foreign in 1999, during the peak of the first tech bubble. While Apple slots easily into the Technology sector and Communications Equipment industry thanks to the moneymaking machine that is the iPhone, companies like Facebook – a social network, media company, and the world’s largest news distributor, all in one – are more difficult to categorize.
The GICS hopes to better reflect the changes of the past 20 years while reminding investors where listed companies earn the bulk of their revenue. David Blitzer, S&P Dow Jones Indices index committee chairman, declared the lines between media, communications, and content to be “blurred”, admitting that “It is time to acknowledge this convergence and the overlapping services these companies provide.”
Facebook and Alphabet will both move to Communication Services from their previous tech sector categorization, with both companies’ sub-industry changing to Interactive Media and Services. Netflix will move from Consumer Discretionary to Communication (along with Disney and 21st Century Fox) while also changing sub-industry from Internet and Direct Marketing Retail to Movies and Entertainment.
The reclassification effort will affect exchange-traded funds designed to specific industries but will not require action from investors, according to investment giant Vanguard. Chris Harvey, Wells Fargo’s head of US equity and quant strategy, also posited that certain companies “may gain mindshare and potentially garner more portfolio-manager interest/dollars” as investors re-familiarize themselves with the stocks. The company estimated that only 10 percent of the S&P 500 will be influenced by the reshuffling, affecting only categorization, not index weights.
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Momentum Indicator for IYW turns negative, indicating new downward trend
IYW saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 12, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 72 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 72 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYW turned negative on March 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
IYW moved below its 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IYW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYW advanced for three days, in of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IYW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 418 cases where IYW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
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Category Technology