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Jan 07, 2019
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This Discount Retailer is Poised for a Rally

This Discount Retailer is Poised for a Rally

The early indications from holiday retail sales numbers are showing that retailers had a very merry Christmas, but the results did vary from one segment to another. According to the Mastercard SpendingPulse report, retail sales were up 5.1% from December 1 through 24 compared to the same period one year ago.

There were interesting pockets where sales increased and decreased. Home improvement sales were up 9% while electronics were down 0.7%. Another area that saw a big increase was apparel with a strong performance.

Enter Ross Stores (Nasdaq: ROST) -- a company I have been watching for quite some time. The stock pulled back in the last few months, but it found support just above its 104-week moving average.

The stock was tremendously oversold based on the weekly stochastic readings. The readings were the lowest they had been since July ’17 before turning higher in the last two weeks. When the stochastic readings made a bullish crossover in ’17, the stock rallied over 50% in the next six months.

The company has seen its earnings grow at a solid pace in recent years. The EPS growth rate has averaged 18% annually over the last three years and analysts expect earnings growth of 25% in the current year.

I don’t know that we will see a 50% jump in the stock over the next six months, but I certainly expect the stock to rally.

Related Ticker: ROST

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


ROST in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026

ROST moved above its 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 21 of 26 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 57 cases where ROST's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ROST as a result. In 55 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ROST just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where ROST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The 10-day moving average for ROST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

Following a +3.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROST advanced for three days, in 205 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 206 of 309 cases where ROST Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

ROST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ROST's P/B Ratio (10.948) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.858). P/E Ratio (27.742) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.576). ROST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.542) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. ROST's P/S Ratio (2.952) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.652).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 8.95B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 131.6K to 189.04B. IDEXF holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.04B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 131.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. REF experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while DBGI experienced the biggest fall at -78%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of discount clothing chains & sells closeout merchandise

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
5130 Hacienda Drive
Phone
+1 925 965-4400
Employees
111000
Web
https://www.rossstores.com
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This Discount Retailer is Poised for a Rally