The Aluminum Industry has recently seen a remarkable surge in performance, with a collective increase of +3.52% over the past week. This positive trend is supported by a group of prominent tickers, including CENX, AA, KALU, and CSTM. In this article, we'll delve into the industry's current landscape, explore the tickers within this theme, and highlight some key indicators that suggest a promising future for these companies.
The Theme and Group of Tickers
The Aluminum Industry encompasses a wide range of applications, including construction, packaging, and the automotive sector. Notably, the demand for lightweight aluminum in automobiles has been on the rise, driven by the need for improved fuel efficiency. In the United States alone, the aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion in direct economic impact, with major players such as Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp, and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation leading the way.
The four tickers of interest within this theme are as follows:
CENX (Century Aluminum) - This company has been a significant player in the industry, with a recent stock price of $8.22. However, it faced a decline of -11.04% in the past week.
AA (Alcoa) - Alcoa, with a stock price of $36.19, experienced a positive weekly performance, showing a +7.23% increase. The trend suggests an uptrend continuation.
KALU (Kaiser Aluminum) - Although not explicitly mentioned in the provided data, Kaiser Aluminum is an important player in the industry, known for its expertise in aluminum products and solutions.
CSTM (Constellium) - Constellium is another noteworthy company in this sector. With a current stock price of $18.19, it has recently shown a +4% uptrend.
Positive Outlook and Supporting Indicators
The positive outlook for these companies is not based on mere speculation. Several key indicators and metrics point to a favorable future for the Aluminum Industry.
Stock Fear & Greed Index - The industry's positive outlook is bolstered by a strong performance across the board, supported by a 15-indicator stock fear and greed index. This index underscores the confidence in the industry's potential.
Tickeron's Predictions - Tickeron, a respected financial analysis tool, predicts a further increase of more than 4.00% within the next month for this group of tickers, with a likelihood of 72%. Such predictions suggest that market experts anticipate continued growth in these stocks.
Volume Growth - It's worth noting that the Aluminum Industry has experienced robust volume growth. The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the industry is 51.6%, while the average monthly and quarterly volume growth rates are 70.52% and 99.8%, respectively. These figures indicate strong investor interest and participation in the sector.
Key Stock-Specific Indicators
Let's take a closer look at the specific indicators for some of these tickers:
CENX (Century Aluminum) - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CENX turned positive recently, with an 82% likelihood of a continued upward trend. Despite a past downtrend, recent data shows a +5% uptrend.
AA (Alcoa) - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for AA moved out of oversold territory, signaling a potential shift from a downward trend to an upward one. The odds of a move higher stand at 80%. The recent data shows a +3% uptrend.
CSTM (Constellium) - The MACD for CSTM recently turned positive, with an impressive 85% likelihood of a continued upward trend. Recent data suggests a +3% uptrend, further supporting the positive outlook.
Market Capitalization
The Aluminum Industry boasts an average market capitalization of approximately $5.8 billion. Within the group of tickers mentioned, market caps range from $138.4 thousand to $54.4 billion, with DKIAF holding the highest valuation and NORNQ being the lowest valued company.
High and Low Price Notable News
The industry has experienced a mixed bag of price movements. While the average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was -3.41%, NHYDY stood out with a significant price growth of 7.94%. Conversely, BXRDF experienced the most significant fall at -53.85%.
In summary, the Aluminum Industry is showing promise, with positive outlooks, strong market indicators, and specific stock signals supporting the potential for growth. However, as with any investment, it's crucial for investors to conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions in this sector.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CENX turned positive on July 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where CENX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 02, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CENX as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CENX moved above its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CENX advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 190 cases where CENX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CENX moved out of overbought territory on July 14, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CENX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CENX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CENX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.610) is normal, around the industry mean (2.091). P/E Ratio (16.656) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.165). CENX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (0.847) is also within normal values, averaging (0.850).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of primary aluminum and aluminum products
Industry Aluminum