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Oct 01, 2023
Ticker Highlights: $CENX, $AA, $KALU, $CSTM - Aluminum Industry Sees Impressive +3.52% Weekly Performance Surge

Ticker Highlights: $CENX, $AA, $KALU, $CSTM - Aluminum Industry Sees Impressive +3.52% Weekly Performance Surge

The Aluminum Industry has recently seen a remarkable surge in performance, with a collective increase of +3.52% over the past week. This positive trend is supported by a group of prominent tickers, including CENX, AA, KALU, and CSTM. In this article, we'll delve into the industry's current landscape, explore the tickers within this theme, and highlight some key indicators that suggest a promising future for these companies.

The Theme and Group of Tickers

The Aluminum Industry encompasses a wide range of applications, including construction, packaging, and the automotive sector. Notably, the demand for lightweight aluminum in automobiles has been on the rise, driven by the need for improved fuel efficiency. In the United States alone, the aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion in direct economic impact, with major players such as Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp, and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation leading the way.

The four tickers of interest within this theme are as follows:

  1. CENX (Century Aluminum) - This company has been a significant player in the industry, with a recent stock price of $8.22. However, it faced a decline of -11.04% in the past week.

  2. AA (Alcoa) - Alcoa, with a stock price of $36.19, experienced a positive weekly performance, showing a +7.23% increase. The trend suggests an uptrend continuation.

  3. KALU (Kaiser Aluminum) - Although not explicitly mentioned in the provided data, Kaiser Aluminum is an important player in the industry, known for its expertise in aluminum products and solutions.

  4. CSTM (Constellium) - Constellium is another noteworthy company in this sector. With a current stock price of $18.19, it has recently shown a +4% uptrend.

Positive Outlook and Supporting Indicators

The positive outlook for these companies is not based on mere speculation. Several key indicators and metrics point to a favorable future for the Aluminum Industry.

  1. Stock Fear & Greed Index - The industry's positive outlook is bolstered by a strong performance across the board, supported by a 15-indicator stock fear and greed index. This index underscores the confidence in the industry's potential.

  2. Tickeron's Predictions - Tickeron, a respected financial analysis tool, predicts a further increase of more than 4.00% within the next month for this group of tickers, with a likelihood of 72%. Such predictions suggest that market experts anticipate continued growth in these stocks.

  3. Volume Growth - It's worth noting that the Aluminum Industry has experienced robust volume growth. The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the industry is 51.6%, while the average monthly and quarterly volume growth rates are 70.52% and 99.8%, respectively. These figures indicate strong investor interest and participation in the sector.

Key Stock-Specific Indicators

Let's take a closer look at the specific indicators for some of these tickers:

  1. CENX (Century Aluminum) - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CENX turned positive recently, with an 82% likelihood of a continued upward trend. Despite a past downtrend, recent data shows a +5% uptrend.

  2. AA (Alcoa) - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for AA moved out of oversold territory, signaling a potential shift from a downward trend to an upward one. The odds of a move higher stand at 80%. The recent data shows a +3% uptrend.

  3. CSTM (Constellium) - The MACD for CSTM recently turned positive, with an impressive 85% likelihood of a continued upward trend. Recent data suggests a +3% uptrend, further supporting the positive outlook.

Market Capitalization

The Aluminum Industry boasts an average market capitalization of approximately $5.8 billion. Within the group of tickers mentioned, market caps range from $138.4 thousand to $54.4 billion, with DKIAF holding the highest valuation and NORNQ being the lowest valued company.

High and Low Price Notable News

The industry has experienced a mixed bag of price movements. While the average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was -3.41%, NHYDY stood out with a significant price growth of 7.94%. Conversely, BXRDF experienced the most significant fall at -53.85%.

In summary, the Aluminum Industry is showing promise, with positive outlooks, strong market indicators, and specific stock signals supporting the potential for growth. However, as with any investment, it's crucial for investors to conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions in this sector.

Related Ticker: CENX, AA, KALU, CSTM

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Dem Sem's AvatarDem Sem|Expert

CENX in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026

CENX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 26 of 31 cases where CENX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CENX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 51 of 61 cases where CENX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

Following a +4.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CENX advanced for three days, in 235 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CENX as a result. In 71 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CENX turned negative on September 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

CENX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CENX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CENX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator for CENX entered a downward trend on September 17, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CENX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.639) is normal, around the industry mean (2.364). P/E Ratio (6.459) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.213). CENX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.070) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.345). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. CENX's P/S Ratio (1.497) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.849).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA).

Industry description

Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aluminum Industry is 5.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 514.65K to 55.69B. DKIAF holds the highest valuation in this group at 55.69B. The lowest valued company is EORBF at 514.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24%. CSTM experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while KALU experienced the biggest fall at 2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was -42%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 80
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 30
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of primary aluminum and aluminum products

Industry Aluminum

Industry
Aluminum
Address
One South Wacker Drive
Phone
+1 312 696-3101
Employees
2906
Web
https://www.centuryaluminum.com
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Ticker Highlights: $CENX, $AA, $KALU, $CSTM - Aluminum Industry Sees Impressive +3.52% Weekly Performance Surge