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Jun 05, 2023

Tickeron's Automated Factory Delivers 7.31% Gain for $VALE within One Week

One such AI trading robot, known as Day Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA), has recently showcased its exceptional performance by generating a remarkable 7.31% gain while trading VALE over the course of the previous week. Let's delve into the technical analysis behind this success and evaluate the latest earnings results for VALE.

Technical analysis plays a vital role in predicting future stock movements based on historical price and volume data. One commonly used tool is the moving average, which helps identify trends and potential turning points in the market. In the case of VALE, the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day moving average on May 30, 2023. This event often signifies a long-term bearish signal, indicating a potential shift towards a downward trend for the stock.

While technical analysis provides valuable insights into market trends, fundamental factors such as earnings reports are equally important in assessing a company's financial health. VALE's most recent earnings report, released on April 26, revealed earnings per share of 40 cents, falling short of the estimated 49 cents. This earnings miss suggests that the company's performance may not have met market expectations.

Considering VALE's current market capitalization of 59.99 billion dollars, with 3.50 million shares outstanding, it is crucial to analyze the potential impact of the earnings results on the company's overall valuation. A miss on earnings estimates could lead to a decrease in investor confidence and potentially affect the stock's value.

The Day Trader AI trading robot has demonstrated its prowess by delivering impressive gains while trading VALE during a volatile period. However, the technical analysis indicates a potential shift towards a downward trend for the stock. Additionally, VALE's recent earnings report, with earnings per share falling short of estimates, could affect the market's perception of the company's performance.

Related Ticker: VALE

Momentum Indicator for VALE turns positive, indicating new upward trend

VALE saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on January 17, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VALE just turned positive on January 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where VALE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

VALE moved above its 50-day moving average on January 30, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VALE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VALE advanced for three days, in of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 223 cases where VALE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VALE moved out of overbought territory on February 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

VALE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.313) is normal, around the industry mean (7.191). P/E Ratio (6.617) is within average values for comparable stocks, (104.882). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.615) is also within normal values, averaging (3.023). VALE has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.116) as compared to the industry average of (0.055). P/S Ratio (1.264) is also within normal values, averaging (255.654).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VALE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VALE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP), Freeport-McMoran (NYSE:FCX), Vale SA (NYSE:VALE), Teck Resources Limited (NYSE:TECK), Cameco Corp (NYSE:CCJ).

Industry description

The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Metals/Minerals Industry is 2.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 230 to 223.12B. BHPBF holds the highest valuation in this group at 223.12B. The lowest valued company is BAJFF at 230.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Metals/Minerals Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. ATOXF experienced the highest price growth at 262%, while ABRMF experienced the biggest fall at -89%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Metals/Minerals Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 39% and the average quarterly volume growth was 43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 79
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 90
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: -30 (-100 ... +100)
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VALE
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General Information

a company that mines and exports iron ore and pellets, manganese, and iron alloys

Industry OtherMetalsMinerals

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Steel
Address
Praia de Botafogo, 186
Phone
+55 2134853900
Employees
74316
Web
https://www.vale.com
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