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May 26, 2023

TPH (TRI Pointe Group Inc), experienced a notable uptick last week, with a significant 4% gain.

TPH, the ticker symbol for TRI Pointe Group Inc., experienced a notable uptick last week, with a significant 4% gain. This rise has been largely credited to an AI trading robot, demonstrating the increasing influence of artificial intelligence in stock trading and portfolio management.

TPH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 28, 2023. The Bollinger Band is a well-recognized technical analysis tool used by traders to measure price volatility and identify potential overbought or oversold conditions in the market. When a stock breaks above its upper Bollinger Band, it's often interpreted as an overbought signal and could indicate an impending price correction.

In this instance, TPH's upward momentum might raise a warning flag to investors as the asset could be overbought. The A.I. advisor considered 38 similar instances where TPH broke above the upper band, and in 26 of these occurrences, the stock subsequently fell. Statistically, this offers a success probability of 68%, indicating that the stock may potentially experience a reversion to the mean.

Interestingly, despite this typical pattern, the AI trading robot managed to secure a 4% gain last week. This achievement can be attributed to the advanced algorithms and machine learning capabilities inherent in such AI systems. The system would have made the most of the upswing before the potential drop, strategically buying and selling to maximize profit.

The trading robot's recent success emphasizes the capacity of AI to analyze and interpret vast amounts of data at unprecedented speeds, resulting in informed decisions that often outperform traditional, human-led trading methods. The robot can work around the clock, making precise, emotion-free decisions based on quantitative data.

Despite the AI's success, it's important to keep in mind that, like all trading strategies, AI-based trading comes with its risks and does not guarantee consistent gains. While the AI was able to capitalize on the current upward momentum of TPH, it should be noted that the stock may experience a pullback based on historical patterns.

Investors are thus advised to consider a balanced approach, blending both AI and human insight, to minimize potential risk and improve decision-making. The success of the AI trading robot with TPH last week highlights the potential of these systems, but prudent investment strategies should always prioritize diversification and risk management.

Related Ticker: TPH

TPH's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for TPH entered a downward trend on September 22, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 134 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 134 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 12, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPH as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPH turned negative on September 12, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TPH moved below its 50-day moving average on August 16, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TPH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPH advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TPH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.939) is normal, around the industry mean (5.749). P/E Ratio (5.770) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.549) is also within normal values, averaging (1.533). TPH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (0.664) is also within normal values, averaging (71.797).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 5.11B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 36.89B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 36.89B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. STHI experienced the highest price growth at 30%, while HOV experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -66%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: -19 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of homebuilding services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
940 Southwood Boulevard
Phone
+1 775 413-1030
Employees
1470
Web
https://www.tripointehomes.com
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TPH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPH has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TPH jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TPH
1D Price
Change %
TPH100%
-0.36%
MTH - TPH
86%
Closely correlated
-0.25%
TOL - TPH
85%
Closely correlated
+0.60%
TMHC - TPH
85%
Closely correlated
-0.21%
MHO - TPH
83%
Closely correlated
+0.68%
MDC - TPH
82%
Closely correlated
-0.43%
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