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Nov 15, 2023

Trader Robot Mastery: +7.13% Profit Achieved for $MSTR Holdings

Recently, the "Trend Trader, Popular Stocks: Price Action Trading Strategy (TA&FA)" bot factory showcased its prowess by delivering a noteworthy +7.13% gain while trading MSTR over the past week. Let's delve into the technical analysis of MSTR, focusing on recent price movements, earnings results, and key industry metrics.

Price Action and Trend Analysis:

MSTR displayed a significant shift in momentum as it rose above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2023. Historically, in 31 out of 38 similar instances, this shift from a downward to an upward trend led to further price increases within the subsequent month. The statistical odds of a continued upward trend stand at an impressive 82%.

Earnings Report Overview:

However, amidst this positive trend, the latest earnings report on November 01 presented a contrasting picture. MSTR reported earnings per share of -897 cents, significantly missing the estimated 30 cents. With 913.72K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization rests at 7.39B. This unexpected dip in earnings warrants a closer look at the factors influencing MSTR's financial performance.

Market Capitalization Comparison:

Comparing MSTR's market capitalization to the Packaged Software Industry, the company sits below the industry average of 8.79B. Notably, giants like MSFT hold the highest valuation at 2.75T, while the lowest valued company, BLGI, stands at 291. Understanding MSTR's position in the market helps contextualize its recent performance against industry standards.

Highs and Lows in Price Movements:

Examining the average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growth across the Packaged Software Industry, MSTR's performance aligns with the overall industry trends. A notable exception is AECX, experiencing a remarkable 212% weekly price growth, while LGIQ faced the biggest fall at -68%. MSTR's ability to withstand industry fluctuations will be crucial for investors navigating this volatile landscape.

Volume Trends:

In terms of trading volume, MSTR mirrors the industry's negative growth patterns. With an average weekly volume decline of -18%, monthly volume down by -8%, and quarterly volume decreasing by -12%, MSTR faces challenges in maintaining consistent market interest. Investors should closely monitor how the company adapts to changing market dynamics in the coming weeks.

Summary:

In conclusion, while MSTR has displayed promising signs of a positive trend, the recent earnings miss and challenges in market capitalization and volume growth highlight the importance of a comprehensive analysis. Investors must consider both technical indicators and broader industry dynamics when making decisions in this evolving market landscape. As we navigate the intricacies of AI-driven trading, understanding the nuances of individual stock performance becomes paramount for informed decision-making.

Related Ticker: MSTR

MSTR's RSI Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 12 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 21 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSTR advanced for three days, in of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MSTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSTR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MSTR entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.973) is normal, around the industry mean (12.566). P/E Ratio (7.273) is within average values for comparable stocks, (116.638). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.816). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (105.263) is also within normal values, averaging (57.003).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MSTR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 279.62B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 279.62B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 44%. MFI experienced the highest price growth at 103%, while ROWKF experienced the biggest fall at -95%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -54%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -45% and the average quarterly volume growth was -45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MSTR showed earnings on October 30, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of e-business software and services

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Software Or Services
Address
1850 Towers Crescent Plaza
Phone
+1 703 848-8600
Employees
1934
Web
https://www.microstrategy.com
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