One such bot, the Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA) has recently demonstrated impressive performance, generating a gain of +5.47% while trading NVDA over the previous week. However, a closer look at technical indicators suggests a potential shift in the stock's trend, prompting traders to consider alternative strategies.
Technical Analysis Signals a Possible Downtrend:
On June 23, 2023, the 10-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) Oscillator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory. This occurrence often signifies a transition from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders closely monitor such movements, as they could indicate an opportunity to sell the stock or consider put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, a renowned AI-powered analytics platform, analyzed 50 instances where the RSI indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 36 out of 50 cases, the stock subsequently experienced a decline. This statistical analysis suggests that the odds of a downward move for NVDA currently stand at 72%.
Impressive Earnings Beat:
NVDA's most recent earnings report, released on May 24, revealed earnings per share (EPS) of $1.09, surpassing the estimated figure of 92 cents. This positive earnings surprise reflects the company's strong financial performance and reinforces investor confidence in its prospects. With 35.38 million shares outstanding, NVDA's current market capitalization stands at an impressive $1.05 trillion, reflecting its position as a significant player in the market.
Summary:
While the AI trading bots, particularly the Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA) have showcased commendable performance, generating a gain of +5.47% while trading NVDA, technical analysis signals a potential shift in the stock's trend. The move of NVDA's 10-day RSI Oscillator out of overbought territory indicates a possible transition from an upward trend to a downward trend, with historical data suggesting a 72% chance of a subsequent decline. Traders should exercise caution and consider alternative strategies such as selling the stock or exploring put options. NVDA's strong earnings report further strengthens investor confidence in the company's prospects. With an earnings per share of $1.09, beating the estimated figure of 92 cents, NVDA demonstrates robust financial performance and solidifies its position as a leading player in the market.
NVDA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 23, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 374 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 374 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
NVDA moved above its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NVDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (51.282) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.487). P/E Ratio (56.934) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.306) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (31.447) is also within normal values, averaging (43.322).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
Industry Semiconductors