Go to the list of all blogs
Jimmy Landsman's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 15, 2026

TRFK ETF Rallies 24% in a Month, Powered by AI and Semiconductor Strength

Key Takeaways

  • TRFK surged +24% over the past 30 days, driven by explosive gains in top holdings like AVGO, NVDA, and AMD amid booming AI data center demand.
  • The ETF climbed +38% over the past quarter, reflecting sustained strength in the semiconductor sector and positive fund inflows of approximately $69 million in the last month.
  • Heavy exposure to technology (over 90%) positioned TRFK to capture the semiconductor rally, fueled by AI infrastructure buildout and memory chip shortages.
  • Fund flows show strong investor interest, with $88 million in net inflows over three months, supporting price momentum.
  • Top holdings contributed disproportionately, with AI-related semis leading sector performance.

Understanding TRFK: Portfolio and Exposure

The Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF (TRFK) is a passively managed fund tracking the Pacer Data Transmission and Communication Revolution Index. It focuses on large-cap global companies involved in the transmission, manipulation, storage, and use of data. This rules-based strategy targets high-growth areas in the digital revolution, such as semiconductors, systems software, and technology infrastructure.

TRFK holds about 80 stocks, with the top 10 making up over 60% of assets. Key positions include Broadcom (10.3%), NVIDIA (8.8%), AMD (8.6%), Intel (7.2%), and Oracle (6.9%). The sector breakdown is heavily weighted toward technology at 91.75%, with industrials at 8.25%.

From what I see, this concentrated focus on data-centric tech—especially semiconductors vital for AI data centers—explains TRFK's recent outperformance as demand for AI infrastructure surges.

TRFK's Recent Price Action: 30 Days and Quarterly View

In the last 30 days, TRFK advanced +24%, moving from around $72.62 to $90.08 in a steady, trend-driven climb with moderate volatility. The ETF showed consistent upward momentum, boosted by sharp sector rallies.

Over the past quarter, it gained +38% from about $65.11. This included an initial range-bound phase followed by stronger upside, mirroring broader technology strength. TRFK outperformed its technology category benchmark in both periods: +30.6% versus +19.1% for one month, and +25.1% versus +10.8% for three months.

Drivers Behind TRFK's 30-Day +24% Gain

TRFK's +24% rise stemmed from strong results in its semiconductor-focused holdings, fueled by rising AI data center demand. Top names like Broadcom, NVIDIA, and AMD posted significant rallies, as the sector added trillions in market cap from demand for computing power in agentic AI models.

I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. Intel jumped over +115% on solid Q1 earnings and AI CPU demand, while memory stocks gained from high-bandwidth memory (HBM) shortages. Oracle and Cisco provided stability through cloud and networking performance. Fund inflows of $69 million into TRFK highlighted shifting investor interest toward data infrastructure, reinforcing the price momentum. Macro tailwinds like AI capex increases tied directly to TRFK's holdings, where semis represent over 70% through electronic technology exposure.

Quarterly Performance: Building on AI Momentum

The +38% quarterly gain reflected deepening AI trends, with semiconductors at the forefront amid intensifying data center buildouts. Holdings like NVIDIA and Broadcom saw AI revenue jumps—NVIDIA's data center segment rose 75% year-over-year—while AMD and Intel benefited from broadening chip demand beyond GPUs.

Institutional inflows reached $88 million over three months, indicating confidence in TRFK's focus. Persistent AI infrastructure spending and memory chip supply constraints offered ongoing support. The ETF's 92% technology weighting capitalized on sector cycles, outperforming benchmarks as names like Arista Networks and Western Digital added to the gains.

Why I Rely on Tickeron’s AI Screener

In my analysis, Tickeron’s AI Screener stands out as a powerful tool for discovering stocks and ETFs. It lets me filter thousands of assets using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI signals—customizing by industry, market cap, indicators, price patterns, and performance. This efficiency uncovers trade ideas, breakouts, and opportunities faster than manual methods. I use it regularly to sharpen my ETF research and spot trends in sectors like this one.

Looking Ahead for TRFK: Key Factors to Monitor

One thing that stands out is the need to watch semiconductor supply chains, especially HBM and AI chip availability, as constraints could affect top holdings like NVIDIA and Broadcom. Keep an eye on hyperscaler AI infrastructure spending, data center growth, and memory pricing. Earnings from AMD, Intel, and Oracle will be influential. Broader macro factors—interest rates, inflation, economic growth—plus trends in agentic AI and edge computing, are essential. Risks involve supply gluts or AI spending slowdowns, while upside could come from faster capex or analyst upgrades. I’m watching this closely.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: TRFK

Contributor

My name is Jimmy, and I’m a financial analyst focused on identifying compelling opportunities across the ETF market. Each day, I analyze hundreds of ETFs to uncover potential trading and investment opportunities using a broad range of market factors. For short-term trading, I rely heavily on technical analysis, including price channels, momentum indicators, support and resistance levels, trend patterns, and other market signals. At the same time, I dedicate significant attention to evaluating ETFs from a long-term investment perspective. My objective is to build a well-balanced ETF portfolio that combines core investment holdings with more tactical and speculative positions. The goal is to create a portfolio that can participate effectively in market rallies while also remaining resilient during periods of volatility and market corrections.


Momentum Indicator for TRFK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

TRFK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 16, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 67 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 63 of the 67 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TRFK just turned positive on September 17, 2026. Looking at past instances where TRFK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

TRFK moved above its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TRFK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +5.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRFK advanced for three days, in 293 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

TRFK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the total return performance, before fees and expenses, of the Pacer Data Transmission and Communication Revolution Index. The fund employs a “passive management” (or indexing) investment approach designed to track the total return performance, before fees and expenses, of the index. The index is a rules-based index that consists of globally-listed stocks and depositary receipts of companies. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF (TRFK) ETF is 172.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 586.67M to 5.37T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.37T. The lowest valued company is ADTN at 586.67M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF (TRFK) ETF was 44%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 46%, and the average quarterly price growth was 403%. ARM experienced the highest price growth at 35%, while CARR experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF (TRFK) ETF was 1%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 51% and the average quarterly volume growth was -39%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 65
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 42
SMR Rating: 54
Profit Risk Rating: 60
Seasonality Score: -7 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
TRFK
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category Technology

Profile
Details
Category
Technology
Address
Pacer Funds Trust16 Industrial Blvd, Suite 201Paoli
Phone
(610) 644-8100
Web
www.paceretfs.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) shares are tumbling approximately 11% in premarket trading on March 19, 2026, extending a steep multi-week correction that has now erased more than 35% of the stock's value from its March 2 peak of $129.14. The primary sustained catalyst driving the decline is AngloGold's lowered 2026 production guidance, projecting gold output of 2.80–3.17 million ounces — a mid-point decline versus the company's 2025 output of approximately 3.1 million ounces, and below analyst expectations.
CSIQ shares tumbled approximately 18% in premarket trading on March 19, 2026, following the release of deeply disappointing Q4 2025 earnings before the open. The company reported a net loss of $1.66 per diluted share, far worse than the Wall Street consensus estimate of -$0.98, representing a 69% earnings miss.
YRD shares are tumbling approximately 17% in premarket trading on March 19, 2026, from a prior close of $3.68 to approximately $3.05, following the company's release of Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results before the U.S. market open. Primary catalyst: A dramatic swing to net loss in Q4 2025. Yiren Digital reported a Q4 net loss of RMB 882.2 million (~USD 126.1 million), compared to net income of RMB 331.4 million in Q4 2024 — a more than $250 million deterioration year-over-year.
Shares of MU are down approximately 6.66% in premarket trading on March 19, 2026, sliding from a prior close of $461.73 to around $431.00. Despite a historic earnings beat — fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $23.86 billion versus the $19.19 billion consensus, and adjusted EPS of $12.20 against an $8.79 estimate — the stock is experiencing a classic "sell the news" reaction.
NEM is trading approximately 9% lower in Thursday premarket, extending Wednesday's 4.56% session loss, as gold prices collapse following the Federal Reserve's hawkish policy hold. Gold spot prices fell 4.21% to $4,616.42 per ounce on March 19, marking the precious metal's sixth straight session of declines — its longest losing streak since late 2024.
Shares of VG are surging approximately +8% in Thursday's premarket session on March 19, 2026, with the stock trading near $16.04, up from the March 18 closing price of $14.85. The primary catalyst is a continuation of bullish momentum driven by a series of analyst price target upgrades, with Scotiabank most recently raising its target from $9 to $11.
LINC shares surged approximately +16% in premarket trading on March 19, 2026, reaching roughly $45.83 from a prior close of $39.51. Primary catalyst: Lincoln Educational Services is hosting its highly anticipated Investor Day today at its brand-new Nashville, TN campus, with presentations beginning at 10:00 am CT (11:00 am ET), live-streamed to investors globally.
PSLV is trading approximately 12% lower in premarket on March 19, 2026, tracking a violent selloff in silver futures. The Federal Reserve's hawkish hold on March 18 — keeping rates at 3.50%–3.75% while signaling fewer cuts ahead — was the primary macro trigger.
The Fed kept rates at 3.5–3.75% and signaled a “higher for longer” stance, with no urgency to cut and a willingness to tighten again if inflation stalls. This backdrop tends to favor quality growth, financials, energy, industrials, and health care, while pressuring long‑duration, leveraged sectors like speculative tech, small caps, utilities, and REITs.
PICS shares fell over 20% today, reversing much of their post‑IPO bounce and dropping well below the US$19 IPO price after initially trading in the mid‑US$15–16 range. The selloff followed PicPay’s Q4 and full‑year 2025 results, which showed strong revenue growth but highlighted thin margins, intense competition and ongoing execution risk in credit underwriting and payments.
RCAT shares fell over 16% today, dropping from recent levels near US$17 toward the mid‑US$14–15 range, after trading as high as US$18.78 in the past year and more than tripling from a 52‑week low of US$4.60.
HYMC shares fell over 13% today, sliding from the mid‑US$30s toward roughly US$31, after trading between US$2.30 and US$58.73 over the past 12 months and closing near US$39 just a few sessions ago.
USAS fell over 10% today, trading around US$5.83 by early afternoon from a previous close of US$6.55 — a one‑day decline of roughly 11% — as more than 5.9 million shares changed hands. The stock had surged earlier in 2026, with some data showing a move from about US$1.11 in March 2025 to over US$7.30 in mid‑March 2026 — a gain of more than 500% — leaving it vulnerable to profit‑taking.
CENX fell about 8.9% today, dropping US$4.94 to US$50.40 by midday, after closing at US$55.34 yesterday; shares now sit roughly 15% below their 52‑week high of US$59.12 but remain far above the 12‑month low of US$13.05. Q4 2025 results showed net sales of US$633.7 million and adjusted net income of US$128.2 million (US$1.25 per share), with adjusted EBITDA of US$170.6 million — a big sequential improvement — but GAAP net income was just US$1.8 million (US$0.02 per share), underscoring earnings volatility.
CNL shares fell over 8% today, trading down from around C$22.90 toward the low‑C$21s, after recently setting a new 1‑year high at C$28.99 on March 2 and gaining more than 70% over the past 12 months.
SMCI shares are plunging approximately 26% in Friday premarket trading, extending sharp after-hours losses from Thursday's session close of $30.79. The primary catalyst is a federal indictment unsealed March 19, 2026, charging three individuals associated with Super Micro — including a company co-founder — with conspiring to illegally export billions of dollars in AI server technology to China.
PL shares are surging approximately 19% in premarket trading on March 20, 2026, building on an 8.67% gain during the regular session on March 19. The primary catalyst is a blowout Q4 fiscal year 2026 earnings report released after the close on March 19, with quarterly revenue of $86.8 million — an 11.55% beat against consensus expectations of $77.81 million.
Unusual Machines (UMAC) is trading down approximately -8.60% in premarket on March 20, 2026, extending losses from the prior session. The primary catalyst is a proposed public stock offering announced after the market close on March 19, 2026, raising dilution concerns among investors.
FDX surged approximately 7% in premarket trading on March 20, 2026, moving from the prior session close of $356.11 to around $381. The primary catalyst is a blowout fiscal Q3 2026 earnings report, with adjusted EPS of $5.25 — beating Wall Street's consensus estimate of $4.13 by more than 27%.
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited (KC) shares plunged about 9% in the most recent session, extending a sharp pullback after a recent rally. The selloff reflects mounting concerns around profitability, with the company still loss-making and showing weak multi-year revenue growth.