Turning Point Brands (TPB, $22.55) increased in a record-breaking daily growth of 206%
Turning Point Brands (TPB) experienced a significant increase in daily volume on April 15, 2023, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 206% compared to the 65-Day Volume Moving Average. TPB's total volume rose to 631K, while the price saw an insignificant increase of +1.85%, closing at $22.56.
The surge in volume could indicate a change in trend, and investors may consider it a buy signal. A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence platform, found 12 similar cases, with 10 of them resulting in successful outcomes. Based on this data, the odds of success are +83%.
However, investors should be cautious and not rely solely on past trends. It is essential to conduct a thorough analysis of the company's financials, including its earnings results, to make informed decisions.
Turning Point Brands recently reported its Q1 2023 earnings, beating market expectations. The company's revenue rose by 15.7%, from $98.6 million in Q1 2022 to $113.9 million in Q1 2023. The growth was driven by strong performance across all its segments, including Smoking products, NewGen products, and NewGen distribution.
TPB's gross profit increased by 18.2%, from $38.9 million in Q1 2022 to $46.0 million in Q1 2023, while its gross margin rose by 1.2 percentage points to 40.4%. The company's net income also saw a significant increase of 56.5%, from $5.5 million in Q1 2022 to $8.6 million in Q1 2023.
In addition, TPB's operating cash flow increased by 36.5%, from $9.9 million in Q1 2022 to $13.5 million in Q1 2023, indicating a healthy financial position. The company also has a solid balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, indicating a moderate level of debt.
Overall, TPB's earnings results demonstrate strong growth potential, making it an attractive investment opportunity. The surge in volume could be a sign of increasing investor interest in the stock, and if the trend continues, the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Turning Point Brands' significant increase in daily volume, resulting in a record-breaking growth of 206%, indicates a potential change in trend and may be a buy signal for investors. However, investors should conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
TPB's Q1 2023 earnings results demonstrate strong growth potential, with revenue and net income increasing significantly. The company also has a healthy financial position, making it an attractive investment opportunity. If the current trend continues, the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
TPB sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On March 24, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for TPB moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 59 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TPB's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPB advanced for three days, in of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TPB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 239 cases where TPB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 25, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPB as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPB turned negative on February 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TPB moved below its 50-day moving average on March 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TPB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 14, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.580) is normal, around the industry mean (4.054). P/E Ratio (23.368) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.724). TPB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.524). TPB has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.005) as compared to the industry average of (0.056). P/S Ratio (3.174) is also within normal values, averaging (1.874).
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General Information
a manufacturer of tobacco products
Industry Tobacco