In the world of AI-driven trading, the Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) robot has emerged as a top performer. Over the previous week, this robot showcased its prowess by generating a remarkable gain of +4.30% while trading TWLO (Twilio Inc.). However, as technical analysts, we must delve deeper into the market indicators to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential risks and opportunities associated with this stock.
Analyzing the Aroon Indicator:
On May 22, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for TWLO exhibited a noteworthy shift. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, a reliable market analysis tool, detected a pattern where the AroonDown red line remained above 70, while the AroonUp green line fell below 30 consistently for three consecutive days. This particular pattern often suggests an impending strong downward move for the stock.
Considering the historical data, A.I.dvisor examined 177 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator exhibited such a pattern. In an overwhelming majority of 152 out of the 177 cases, the stock price subsequently moved lower. Based on this data, there is an 86% chance that TWLO might experience a downward move in the near future. Traders and investors should take note of this indicator and consider their positions accordingly.
Earnings Report Highlights:
The most recent earnings report, released on May 09, showcased impressive results for TWLO. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of 46 cents, surpassing the estimated figure of 20 cents. This positive earnings surprise indicates a strong financial performance during the specified period.
TWLO's current market capitalization stands at approximately 12.35 billion USD, with 192.81K shares outstanding. It is essential to evaluate these figures in conjunction with other market indicators to gain a holistic view of the stock's value and potential for future growth.
In summary, the Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) robot has demonstrated its capabilities by delivering a notable gain of +4.30% while trading TWLO over the past week. However, caution is warranted as the Aroon Indicator, through Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, suggests a strong likelihood of a downward move in the near future. It is worth noting that TWLO's recent earnings report exceeded expectations, indicating positive financial performance.
TWLO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 31, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 38 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TWLO moved out of overbought territory on September 08, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TWLO as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TWLO turned negative on September 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TWLO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWLO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for TWLO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 07, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWLO advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 210 cases where TWLO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TWLO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.093) is normal, around the industry mean (17.194). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.413). TWLO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (28.154) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.543). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.745) is also within normal values, averaging (8.583).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWLO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of cloud-based communications platform
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TWLO has been loosely correlated with YELP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TWLO jumps, then YELP could also see price increases.