U.S. Crude Plunges 6.7% to Settle at 18-month Low
Concerns over the growing turmoil in Washington D.C. and a worsening world economy led U.S. crude oil prices plunge nearly 7% on Monday. Falling in tandem with the equities market, oil prices hit their lowest levels in nearly 18 months to trade at $42.53/bbl.
Despite the production deal struck earlier in December between the OPEC and Russia, investors are increasingly seeking shelter in apparently safe-haven assets such as gold and government debt at the cost of risker ones like oil and stocks. This negative sentiment has resulted into U.S. crude falling from its peak of 52-week high reached at the start of October to nearly 18-month low, after falling nearly 45%.
U.S. crude futures ended Monday's session at $42.53 after falling 6.7% or $3.06, its lowest closing price since June 2017 and close to 2017’s lowest level of $42.05. While Brent crude futures hit their 16-month low after falling nearly 6.2% or $3.35 to end the day at $50.47 a barrel.
Owing to this plunge, the downward slide for energy stocks has ranged between -2% to -12.5%. Some of the major losers included names like Hess Corporation (HES, -12.2%), Chevron Corporation (CVX, -3.1%), ConocoPhillips (COP, -4.7%), EOG Resources Inc. (EOG, -5%) and Continental Resources Inc. (CLR, -5.7%) among others.
COP sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
COP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 16, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COP as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
COP moved above its 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.072) is normal, around the industry mean (4.670). P/E Ratio (14.203) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.690). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.867) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.086) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.763) is also within normal values, averaging (165.746).
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General Information
a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas
Industry OilGasProduction
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