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Dec 26, 2018

U.S. Crude Plunges 6.7% to Settle at 18-month Low

Concerns over the growing turmoil in Washington D.C. and a worsening world economy led U.S. crude oil prices plunge nearly 7% on Monday. Falling in tandem with the equities market, oil prices hit their lowest levels in nearly 18 months to trade at $42.53/bbl.

Despite the production deal struck earlier in December between the OPEC and Russia, investors are increasingly seeking shelter in apparently safe-haven assets such as gold and government debt at the cost of risker ones like oil and stocks. This negative sentiment has resulted into U.S. crude falling from its peak of 52-week high reached at the start of October to nearly 18-month low, after falling nearly 45%.

U.S. crude futures ended Monday's session at $42.53 after falling 6.7% or $3.06, its lowest closing price since June 2017 and close to 2017’s lowest level of $42.05. While Brent crude futures hit their 16-month low after falling nearly 6.2% or $3.35 to end the day at $50.47 a barrel.

Owing to this plunge, the downward slide for energy stocks has ranged between -2% to -12.5%. Some of the major losers included names like Hess Corporation (HES, -12.2%), Chevron Corporation (CVX, -3.1%), ConocoPhillips (COP, -4.7%), EOG Resources Inc. (EOG, -5%) and Continental Resources Inc. (CLR, -5.7%) among others.

Related Ticker: COP

Momentum Indicator for COP turns positive, indicating new upward trend

COP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on December 02, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COP just turned positive on November 28, 2025. Looking at past instances where COP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COP moved above its 50-day moving average on December 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for COP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 297 cases where COP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

COP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.778) is normal, around the industry mean (11.315). P/E Ratio (13.196) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.690). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.311) is also within normal values, averaging (5.252). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.075) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.949) is also within normal values, averaging (200.165).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (NYSE:AR), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 115.45B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 115.45B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. ECAOF experienced the highest price growth at 202%, while ADXRF experienced the biggest fall at -42%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 31 (-100 ... +100)
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COP
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. COP showed earnings on November 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway
Phone
+1 281 293-1000
Employees
9900
Web
https://www.conocophillips.com
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