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Dec 17, 2018

U.S. Homebuilder Sentiment Falls

U.S. homebuilder sentiment was down in December to its lowest level since 2015. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index dropped to 56 from 60 based on declines in sales, expectations and buyer traffic. 

“We are hearing from builders that consumer demand exists, but that customers are hesitating to make a purchase because of rising home costs,” NAHB Chairman Randy Noel, said in a statement. “However, recent declines in mortgage interest rates should help move the market forward in early 2019.”

Related Ticker: XHB

Momentum Indicator for XHB turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XHB saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 23, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XHB just turned positive on June 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where XHB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XHB moved above its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XHB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XHB advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XHB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XHB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for XHB entered a downward trend on June 11, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Owens Corning (NYSE:OC), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of an index derived from the homebuilding segment of a U.S. total market composite index. In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index (the "index"), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the homebuilders segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI").

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the SPDR® S&P Homebuilders ETF ETF is 29.12B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 959.76M to 380.15B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 380.15B. The lowest valued company is HOV at 959.76M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P Homebuilders ETF ETF was 6%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 22%, and the average quarterly price growth was 35%. DFH experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while FND experienced the biggest fall at -0%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P Homebuilders ETF ETF was -30%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 86% and the average quarterly volume growth was 179%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 64
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 39
Profit Risk Rating: 40
Seasonality Score: 41 (-100 ... +100)
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