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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 20, 2021

Uber Just Lost Big in the U.K. - What Does It Mean for the Stock?

Uber, Lyft, Doordash, and other ride-sharing/delivery apps are spending a lot of time in court these days. At issue is the status of drivers -- are they independent contractors, as Uber and others insist, or are they employees?

The difference could cost the companies billions. 

Last week, the U.K.'s Supreme Court dealt a blow to Uber, in ruling that a group of former drivers were entitled to minimum wage and other benefits, effectively granting the plaintiffs "employment status." As expected, Uber appealed the decision, but it's unclear where the appeal will get them - the U.K. Supreme Court is not obligated to hear the case again.

The U.K.'s decision only applies to the drivers who filed the case, not the entire labor pool. But the precedent appears to be set, and it follows many similar decisions being made across Europe. Reclassifying drivers as employees would essentially ruin Uber's business model, and create exorbitant new costs. It could also hurt future earnings, and thus impact the stock's performance.

Even still, while victories for labor accumulate in Europe, drivers have had less luck in the United States. In last fall's election, voters in California sided with Uber, Lyft, and Instacart in allowing them to continue their contract-work systems. It's clear that tension between workers and companies driving the gig economy are poised to continue. 

So what does this mean for the stocks of major players like Uber, Lyft, and DoorDash? Tickeron's Artificial Intelligence, A.I.dvisor, has some answers below.

Related Ticker: UBER

UBER's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for UBER moved out of oversold territory on December 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 16 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UBER advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UBER may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 05, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UBER as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UBER turned negative on December 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UBER declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for UBER entered a downward trend on December 20, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UBER’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.144) is normal, around the industry mean (31.082). P/E Ratio (87.816) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.694). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.162) is also within normal values, averaging (2.755). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.286) is also within normal values, averaging (58.159).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.71B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. NUKK experienced the highest price growth at 2,778%, while CYN experienced the biggest fall at -86%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 80%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 114% and the average quarterly volume growth was 75%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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UBER
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a company which provides a ride hailing services, develops applications for road transportation, navigation, ride sharing, and payment processing solutions.

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
1725 3rd Street
Phone
+1 415 612-8582
Employees
30400
Web
https://www.uber.com
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