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May 14, 2019
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Uber (UBER) fails to meet the hype of its IPO, shares crash in a downward spiral

Uber (UBER) fails to meet the hype of its IPO, shares crash in a downward spiral

Since its IPO, which was the biggest (expected) market debut this year, shares of San-Francisco based ride hailing platform Uber fell into a downward spiral, dropping as much as 11% to $37.08 in New York. The company started trading by selling 180 million shares at $45 apiece on Thursday, but on Friday it went further down by 7.6% to trade at $41.57, and never traded above debut price even though other stocks went up. Even the company’s CEO doesn’t expect the situation to get any better in the near future.

The drop in shares is an indicator of investors’ doubts about the size of the ride-hailing market as well as Uber’s capability to manage so many segments that it has recently forayed into, like food, package delivery and its push into autonomous vehicles. On top of this, investors are also not very confident about investing into risky assets, thanks to the persisting U.S-China trade dispute which has only worsened in the recent past.

Analysts currently have rated ‘outperform’ on Uber and sees the stock reaching $65 in 2019.

Uber’s stock comes as a huge disappointment as the company failed to meet the hype it created before its initial offering. Rival platform Lyft (LYFT) too had the same luck which clocked a 29% loss since it debuted in the stock market in March.

Related Ticker: UBER

UBER in -1.30% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 28, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where UBER declined for three days, in 233 of 299 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UBER as a result. In 65 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UBER turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for UBER entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UBER's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UBER advanced for three days, in 230 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

UBER may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UBER’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.988) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.884). P/E Ratio (14.439) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.540). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.812) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.072) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.683) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.51B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 269.65B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 269.65B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. AEYE experienced the highest price growth at 80%, while RCT experienced the biggest fall at -58%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -42%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company which provides a ride hailing services, develops applications for road transportation, navigation, ride sharing, and payment processing solutions.

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
1725 3rd Street
Phone
+1 415 612-8582
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.uber.com
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Uber (UBER) fails to meet the hype of its IPO, shares crash in a downward spiral