Go to the list of all blogs
Arthur Evans's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 03, 2026
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Delivers +11.1% Sales Growth in Q1 and Raises Full-Year EPS Guidance

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Delivers +11.1% Sales Growth in Q1 and Raises Full-Year EPS Guidance

Key Takeaways

  • Net sales rose 11.1% to $3.16 billion, driven by 5.3% comparable sales growth, new stores, and the Space NK acquisition.
  • Diluted EPS increased 15.5% to $7.74, exceeding analyst expectations.
  • Gross margin expanded to 40.1% from 39.1% due to lower inventory shrink and improved merchandise margins.
  • Operating income grew 11.6% to $448.3 million, representing 14.2% of net sales.
  • The company returned $555 million to shareholders via share repurchases during the quarter.
  • Fiscal 2026 diluted EPS guidance was raised to $28.36–$28.80 from the prior $28.05–$28.55 range.

Why Ulta Beauty’s Q1 Results Matter

Ulta Beauty’s first quarter results provide an early read on consumer demand in the beauty sector amid a mixed macroeconomic environment. The company’s performance reflects continued strength in its omnichannel model and loyalty program, following solid comparable sales growth in prior periods. Investors monitor these reports closely because Ulta Beauty’s results often signal broader trends in discretionary beauty spending and the effectiveness of its expansion and brand initiatives.

Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results in Detail

Ulta Beauty reported first quarter fiscal 2026 results for the 13 weeks ended May 2, 2026. Net sales reached $3.16 billion, an 11.1% increase from $2.85 billion in the year-ago quarter. Comparable sales rose 5.3%, with average ticket up 3.7% and transactions up 1.6%. Gross profit margin improved 100 basis points to 40.1%. Selling, general and administrative expenses increased to 25.8% of sales. Operating income advanced 11.6% to $448.3 million. Diluted earnings per share climbed 15.5% to $7.74. The company repurchased 958,323 shares for $555 million. Management raised full-year fiscal 2026 diluted EPS guidance while leaving net sales and comparable sales growth targets unchanged. To get a sense of how ULTA compares to peers, I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener.

Market Reaction Following the Release

Shares of Ulta Beauty experienced volatility following the June 2, 2026 earnings release. The stock closed modestly lower on the day amid broader market movements, with after-hours trading showing modest gains. Investors appeared to focus on the solid top-line beat and raised full-year guidance, while noting ongoing SG&A deleveraging pressures from strategic investments.

Forward Outlook and Factors to Monitor

Ulta Beauty left its fiscal 2026 net sales growth target of 6% to 7% and comparable sales growth of 2.5% to 3.5% unchanged. Operating income growth guidance was narrowed slightly higher to 6.5%–9%. Diluted EPS expectations were lifted to a range of $28.36 to $28.80.

Investors will watch execution on the company’s strategic initiatives, including new store openings, brand launches, and international expansion through Space NK. Margin trends remain important given continued investments in technology and infrastructure. Comparable sales momentum across categories and channels will provide insight into sustained consumer demand. Capital allocation priorities, including the ongoing share repurchase program, will also influence returns to shareholders. The next earnings update is expected in late August 2026.

Refining My Analysis with Tickeron Tools

When evaluating results like these, I find it helpful to layer in additional data points beyond the headline numbers. One resource I turn to for that is Tickeron’s AI Screener, which lets me quickly filter stocks by industry, technical patterns, fundamentals, and AI-driven signals to see how ULTA stacks up against comparable names. It streamlines the process of identifying relevant peers and spotting broader sector trends without manual effort. AI Screener

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: ULTA

Contributor

Financial writer and active order flow futures trader with a focus on fundamental analysis, macroeconomic factors, and equity research. I make in-depth blogs on stocks and ETFs, bridging the gap between raw market data and real-world trading decisions.


ULTA's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ULTA turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ULTA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ULTA as a result. In 55 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

The 50-day moving average for ULTA moved above the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +0.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTA advanced for three days, in 214 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 169 of 277 cases where ULTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ULTA moved out of overbought territory on October 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 52%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

ULTA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ULTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ULTA's P/B Ratio (10.485) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.326). P/E Ratio (23.540) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.930). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.978) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.095) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.806) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), 1-800-FLOWERS.COM (NASDAQ:FLWS).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 4.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.1K to 50.98B. ANCTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 50.98B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 3.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. EVGO experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while NAAS experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -39%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
ULTA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company that retails cosmetics and other personal care products

Industry SpecialtyStores

Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
1000 Remington Boulevard
Phone
+1 630 410-4800
Employees
65000
Web
https://www.ulta.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
TSMX, a 2x daily leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund), rose roughly +19% over the trailing 30 days, rebounding sharply from mid-September lows. The fund seeks 200% of the daily return of TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing), meaning its moves are roughly double the underlying stock's daily swings.
Contracted revenue anchor: A roughly $3.2 billion, seven-year LNG (liquefied natural gas) supply agreement with Puerto Rico has received final approval, providing multi-year cash-flow visibility if execution stays on track. Project pipeline inflection: Upcoming milestones include the Barcarena and PortoCem power plants in Brazil, a potential Gás Sul terminal restart, and optimization of the company's modular "Fast LNG" (FLNG) liquefaction fleet.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) designs central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and AI accelerators, while LRCX (Lam Research) supplies the wafer-fabrication equipment used to build advanced chips. AMD has delivered strong double-digit revenue growth on AI data-center demand, but its shares trade with elevated expectations that can trigger sharp reactions around earnings.
Origination momentum: Velocity Financial enters 2026 off record annual originations of roughly $2.7 billion (up about 48%), positioning it to keep gaining share in a fragmented investor-loan market. Credit normalization is the central watch item: Nonperforming loans fell toward the 8.5% range of portfolio unpaid principal balance (UPB), but asset quality remains the primary swing factor for earnings.
Turnaround milestone ahead: Management has pointed to reaching cash generation in 2027, making the pace of cost discipline and margin recovery the central question for the stock forecast. Fresh capital supports execution: A recently announced $45.5 million equity financing, with participation from management and a single institutional investor, strengthens the balance sheet as the company funds its transformation.
NFE closed at $5.51, down -6.13% during Tuesday's regular session, extending a slide that has pushed shares near a 52-week low. Primary catalyst: the company disclosed its Fast LNG unit is offline after a gas-turbine mechanical failure, with return to service not expected until Q4.
The central $11 target is the arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, rounded from roughly $10.75. With the stock near $2.06, reaching $11 would require an upside of more than 400%, an extremely large move.
The $23 central target is the rounded arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, which average $23.25. The latest verified price is around $9.57, meaning the target implies roughly 140% upside—a very large move.
NXH closed down -11.17% (-$0.23) to $1.83 on Oct 6, the most recent regular session, extending a steep two-day decline. Selling continued as investors digested the mutual termination of the Fathom Holdings merger and a dilutive $45.5M registered direct offering of ~16.5M shares at $2.76.
AMD is a large-cap designer of CPUs (central processing units) and GPUs (graphics processing units) competing directly with Nvidia in the AI accelerator market, while FORM is a small-cap provider of semiconductor test and measurement equipment, primarily probe cards. AMD's narrative has been driven by multi-billion-dollar hyperscaler deals, while FORM's has been powered by record revenue and sharp margin expansion tied to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) demand.
AMD has surged roughly 200% year to date, crossing a $1 trillion market capitalization on AI data-center demand and a "CPU renaissance" narrative. KLAC has gained about 71% year to date, supported by record process-control revenue and rapid growth in advanced packaging for AI chips.
AMD is a large-cap semiconductor designer riding explosive AI compute demand, while ENTG is a mid-cap supplier of materials and purity solutions that feed the same AI-driven chip cycle. AMD recently crossed a $1 trillion market capitalization on surging data center revenue, whereas ENTG operates at a far smaller scale (roughly $23 billion) with steadier, double-digit growth.
VELO closed Tuesday at $9.57, unchanged (+0.00%) from the prior session, with the move occurring during regular market hours. The flat close marked stabilization after Monday's -14.5% plunge, when shares fell to $9.57 from $11.20 following disclosure of CFO James Suva's departure.
The $8 target used here is a technical, publicly discussed recovery objective — not an analyst consensus — because legacy analyst price targets were set before NFE's restructuring and reverse stock split. New Fortress Energy Inc. ( NFE ) trades near $5.51, so reaching $8 implies a roughly 45% advance.
AVBP plunged -46.98% during Tuesday's regular session, closing at $15.09 versus $28.46, marking its worst single-day decline on record. The catalyst was the Phase 3 FURVENT trial of firmonertinib failing its primary endpoint—progression-free survival—in first-line EGFR exon 20 insertion non-small cell lung cancer.
Upcoming catalyst: The company's next earnings release is estimated for November 6, 2026, which should offer fresh detail on its SKY token holdings, staking rewards, and treasury strategy. Strategic positioning: SDEV is an on-chain holding company providing public-market exposure to the Sky protocol ecosystem, with SKY as its core digital asset and a stated focus on the stablecoin economy.
Different roles in the chip ecosystem: AMAT is a materials-engineering and deposition leader, while KLAC dominates process control, inspection, and yield management. Momentum favors AMAT: AMAT shares have more than doubled this year, while KLAC has recently pulled back roughly 9% in a month on margin and execution concerns.
Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Delivers +11.1% Sales Growth in Q1 and Raises Full-Year EPS Guidance