United States Antimony (UAMY) Slides -16.75% in 30 Days Following Earnings Miss
Key Takeaways
- UAMY fell about 16.75% over the 30-day window ended with the latest available close, from $5.97 to $4.97.
- The decline was driven by second-quarter 2026 results released August 11: revenue of $7.9 million, down 25% year over year and below consensus expectations.
- Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was reduced to $60 million–$75 million from a prior target of $125 million.
- The average antimony selling price fell about 52% year over year, compressing gross margin to roughly 7% from 27%, even as pounds sold rose 26%.
- Offsetting positives include zeolite revenue up 110%, $62.2 million in cash and U.S. Treasuries, and approximately $57.3 million in cumulative DLA contract orders.
Company Background and Position in Critical Minerals
United States Antimony Corporation operates as a fully integrated producer of critical minerals, handling mining, milling, processing, and sales of antimony products, zeolite, and precious metals. Its U.S. facilities include the Thompson Falls smelter in Montana and the Radersburg flotation mill, along with development projects in Alaska, Idaho, and Bolivia. Antimony finds use in flame retardants, batteries, alloys, and defense applications, positioning the company as a notable domestic player in the U.S. critical-minerals supply chain. It serves industrial, agricultural, and government customers, including through deliveries under a Defense Logistics Agency contract.
Recent Stock Performance Over 30 Days and the Quarter
Over the 30-day window, UAMY moved from a July 13, 2026 close of $5.97 down to $4.97 at the latest available close, for a decline of 16.75%. Much of that move occurred on August 12, when shares dropped roughly 24.5% from $6.58 to $4.97 following the earnings release—the largest single-session decline in more than nine months. Looking further back, the stock is down about 48% from its May 14 close of $9.57, reflecting a broader downtrend that began after early May.
What Moved the Stock in the Latest 30 Days
The primary catalyst was the second-quarter 2026 earnings report released after the close on August 11, 2026. Revenue totaled $7.9 million, down 25% from $10.5 million in the year-earlier period and below consensus estimates. While antimony pounds sold rose 26% to approximately 428,425, the average selling price fell about 52% to $13.70 per pound. That price compression pushed gross margin down to roughly 7% from 27% in the prior-year quarter. The company reported an operating loss of about $7 million and lowered its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $60 million to $75 million.
H.C. Wainwright kept its Buy rating but reduced the price target to $9.25 from $11.75. On the positive side, zeolite revenue climbed 110% to $1.9 million, cash and U.S. Treasuries stood at $62.2 million, working capital reached $70 million, and cumulative DLA orders totaled about $57.3 million. Still, the guidance cut and margin pressure shaped the market’s response. I also checked sector peers using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how UAMY stacked up on valuation and growth metrics.
Performance Drivers Over the Past Quarter
The three-month decline has largely followed a normalization in antimony prices. Spot prices have moved toward roughly $10 per pound from earlier levels near $28 per pound that had supported higher revenue expectations. Realized selling prices and margins fell faster than volume growth could offset. The company has continued to invest in the Thompson Falls expansion, the Radersburg mill, and projects in Alaska, Idaho, and Bolivia. Equity issuances bolstered the balance sheet but also raised share-based compensation and operating expenses, contributing to a repricing of revenue expectations while domestic capacity builds and DLA deliveries continue.
Factors to Monitor Going Forward
Investors will want to track the pace of revenue recognition from DLA deliveries, including roughly $2.6 million expected in the third quarter after July acceptance, and whether further shipments can support the revised $60 million–$75 million revenue target. Antimony spot pricing remains key, with management noting that prices could stay near $10 per pound for the rest of 2026. Other items to watch include operational milestones at Thompson Falls, Radersburg, and the Alaska, Idaho, and Bolivia projects, continued zeolite volume growth, commodity-price volatility, execution and permitting timelines, potential dilution from equity financing, and U.S. critical-minerals policy developments.
AI Tools in My Research Workflow
In my research process, I frequently consult Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots to see how automated strategies are performing on stocks like this. It helps me gauge sentiment and potential automated trading flows without relying solely on manual charts.
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Contributor
Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.
UAMY's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for UAMY entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 275 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 254 of the 275 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAMY as a result. In 79 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAMY turned negative on September 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAMY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAMY advanced for three days, in 210 of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAMY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UAMY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.828) is normal, around the industry mean (12.095). P/E Ratio (98.039) is within average values for comparable stocks, (147.838). UAMY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (9.440) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.027). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.241) is also within normal values, averaging (283.864).
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General Information
a producer of antimony products
Industry OtherMetalsMinerals
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