GET DAILY SIGNALSUnited States Antimony (UAMY) Slides -16.75% in 30 Days Following Earnings Miss
Key Takeaways
- UAMY fell about 16.75% over the 30-day window ended with the latest available close, from $5.97 to $4.97.
- The decline was driven by second-quarter 2026 results released August 11: revenue of $7.9 million, down 25% year over year and below consensus expectations.
- Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was reduced to $60 million–$75 million from a prior target of $125 million.
- The average antimony selling price fell about 52% year over year, compressing gross margin to roughly 7% from 27%, even as pounds sold rose 26%.
- Offsetting positives include zeolite revenue up 110%, $62.2 million in cash and U.S. Treasuries, and approximately $57.3 million in cumulative DLA contract orders.
Company Background and Position in Critical Minerals
United States Antimony Corporation operates as a fully integrated producer of critical minerals, handling mining, milling, processing, and sales of antimony products, zeolite, and precious metals. Its U.S. facilities include the Thompson Falls smelter in Montana and the Radersburg flotation mill, along with development projects in Alaska, Idaho, and Bolivia. Antimony finds use in flame retardants, batteries, alloys, and defense applications, positioning the company as a notable domestic player in the U.S. critical-minerals supply chain. It serves industrial, agricultural, and government customers, including through deliveries under a Defense Logistics Agency contract.
Recent Stock Performance Over 30 Days and the Quarter
Over the 30-day window, UAMY moved from a July 13, 2026 close of $5.97 down to $4.97 at the latest available close, for a decline of 16.75%. Much of that move occurred on August 12, when shares dropped roughly 24.5% from $6.58 to $4.97 following the earnings release—the largest single-session decline in more than nine months. Looking further back, the stock is down about 48% from its May 14 close of $9.57, reflecting a broader downtrend that began after early May.
What Moved the Stock in the Latest 30 Days
The primary catalyst was the second-quarter 2026 earnings report released after the close on August 11, 2026. Revenue totaled $7.9 million, down 25% from $10.5 million in the year-earlier period and below consensus estimates. While antimony pounds sold rose 26% to approximately 428,425, the average selling price fell about 52% to $13.70 per pound. That price compression pushed gross margin down to roughly 7% from 27% in the prior-year quarter. The company reported an operating loss of about $7 million and lowered its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $60 million to $75 million.
H.C. Wainwright kept its Buy rating but reduced the price target to $9.25 from $11.75. On the positive side, zeolite revenue climbed 110% to $1.9 million, cash and U.S. Treasuries stood at $62.2 million, working capital reached $70 million, and cumulative DLA orders totaled about $57.3 million. Still, the guidance cut and margin pressure shaped the market’s response. I also checked sector peers using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how UAMY stacked up on valuation and growth metrics.
Performance Drivers Over the Past Quarter
The three-month decline has largely followed a normalization in antimony prices. Spot prices have moved toward roughly $10 per pound from earlier levels near $28 per pound that had supported higher revenue expectations. Realized selling prices and margins fell faster than volume growth could offset. The company has continued to invest in the Thompson Falls expansion, the Radersburg mill, and projects in Alaska, Idaho, and Bolivia. Equity issuances bolstered the balance sheet but also raised share-based compensation and operating expenses, contributing to a repricing of revenue expectations while domestic capacity builds and DLA deliveries continue.
Factors to Monitor Going Forward
Investors will want to track the pace of revenue recognition from DLA deliveries, including roughly $2.6 million expected in the third quarter after July acceptance, and whether further shipments can support the revised $60 million–$75 million revenue target. Antimony spot pricing remains key, with management noting that prices could stay near $10 per pound for the rest of 2026. Other items to watch include operational milestones at Thompson Falls, Radersburg, and the Alaska, Idaho, and Bolivia projects, continued zeolite volume growth, commodity-price volatility, execution and permitting timelines, potential dilution from equity financing, and U.S. critical-minerals policy developments.
AI Tools in My Research Workflow
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Contributor
Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.
UAMY in -9.18% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on November 02, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where UAMY declined for three days, in 311 of 344 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAMY as a result. In 77 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator for UAMY entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UAMY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UAMY just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where UAMY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +6.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAMY advanced for three days, in 206 of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
UAMY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAMY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UAMY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.381) is normal, around the industry mean (7.004). P/E Ratio (-22.154) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-0.421). UAMY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (9.440) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.026). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.241) is also within normal values, averaging (283.864).
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General Information
a producer of antimony products
Industry OtherMetalsMinerals
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