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Nov 13, 2018

UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

It seems like almost every new data point on housing shows weakness. That’s because even though millennials are entering their prime age for home buying, starter homes have become unaffordable. Housing prices for houses less than 75% of the cost of median houses increased 8.9% from September 2016 to September 2017 which was above the 6.4% increase for all homes. Millennials are delaying home buying which is also delaying peak demand. The most common age is 27 in 2018. Millennials waiting until their early 30s to buy a house pushes off this demand. Even though the labor market is extremely robust as weekly wage growth is at a cycle high and the underemployment rate is at a cycle low, shelter inflation outperforming overall CPI has taken a toll on affordability.  

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Related Ticker: RWO

RWO in -1.89% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 10, 2025

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where RWO declined for three days, in of 273 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Aroon Indicator for RWO entered a downward trend on October 17, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RWO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RWO as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RWO just turned positive on October 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where RWO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RWO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RWO advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Tanger (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of the Dow Jones Global Select Real Estate Securities Indexsm based upon the global real estate market. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index and in depositary receipts based on securities comprising the index. The index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure the performance of publicly traded global real estate securities.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the SPDR® Dow Jones® Global Real Estate ETF ETF is 15.88B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.88M to 117.1B. WELL holds the highest valuation in this group at 117.1B. The lowest valued company is GRI at 4.88M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the SPDR® Dow Jones® Global Real Estate ETF ETF was 4%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. PLD experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while ELS experienced the biggest fall at -1%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the SPDR® Dow Jones® Global Real Estate ETF ETF was -14%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 9%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 34 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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Category GlobalRealEstate

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Global Real Estate
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SPDR Index Shares FundsOne Lincoln Street,Cph0326Boston
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