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Nov 13, 2018
UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

It seems like almost every new data point on housing shows weakness. That’s because even though millennials are entering their prime age for home buying, starter homes have become unaffordable. Housing prices for houses less than 75% of the cost of median houses increased 8.9% from September 2016 to September 2017 which was above the 6.4% increase for all homes. Millennials are delaying home buying which is also delaying peak demand. The most common age is 27 in 2018. Millennials waiting until their early 30s to buy a house pushes off this demand. Even though the labor market is extremely robust as weekly wage growth is at a cycle high and the underemployment rate is at a cycle low, shelter inflation outperforming overall CPI has taken a toll on affordability.  

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Related Ticker: RWO

RWO in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on June 01, 2026

RWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 37 cases where RWO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RWO as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RWO just turned positive on June 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where RWO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RWO advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where RWO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

RWO moved below its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RWO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for RWO entered a downward trend on June 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Tanger (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of the Dow Jones Global Select Real Estate Securities Indexsm based upon the global real estate market. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index and in depositary receipts based on securities comprising the index. The index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure the performance of publicly traded global real estate securities.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® GlbRE ETF ETF is 17.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.11M to 145.81B. WELL holds the highest valuation in this group at 145.81B. The lowest valued company is GRI at 4.11M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® GlbRE ETF ETF was 1,397%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 594%, and the average quarterly price growth was 71%. CAST experienced the highest price growth at 745%, while VCX experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® GlbRE ETF ETF was 11%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 43% and the average quarterly volume growth was -42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 40
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 41 (-100 ... +100)
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