Upstart (UPST, $203.29) shares get rating upgrade at Barclays

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator for UPST entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UPST's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 35 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UPST just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where UPST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +3.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPST advanced for three days, in 237 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

UPST may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UPST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.811) is normal, around the industry mean (3.945). UPST's P/E Ratio (44.288) is considerably higher than the industry average of (14.459). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.160) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPST’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.