US 10-year Treasury auction leads to 1.68% yield
On Monday, the U.S. Treasury sold $38 billion in 10-year notes. The auction led to yield of 1.68% , compared to March 10 yield of 1.523%.
Investors bid $2.36 for every $1 on offer from the Treasury, auction data showed. Foreign buyers, the data took down just under 60% of the sale.
The breakeven rate between five-year Treasury bonds and five-year inflation protected securities was 2.48% this week, down from the 2008 high of 2.5% it touched last month. But the gauge of expected inflation is still firmly ahead of the Fed's 2% inflation target.
Momentum Indicator for GOVT turns positive, indicating new upward trend
GOVT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 19, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on November 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 57 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 208 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category IntermediateGovernment
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