US Adds +312,000 Jobs, Beating Expectations; Wages Tick Higher
The U.S. added +312,000 jobs in December, exceeding expectations of +184,000 – according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics non-farm payroll data released Friday. Job gains occurred in health care, food services and drinking places, construction, manufacturing, and retail trade. The unemployment rate, however, spiked a bit to 3.9% for the month, compared to November’s record low 3.7%.
Average hourly earnings rose by +0.4% over last month – edging past expectation of +0.3%. On a year-over-year basis, wages increased by +3.2%, which is higher than estimates of +3%.
The figures seems to suggest that the U.S. labor market continues to show strength amidst potential headwinds like trade uncertainties alongwith concerns related to monetary tightening and stock market correction/volatility.
SPY sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
SPY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 28, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on June 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 68 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 433 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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