US existing home sales fell -34% y-o-y in December
U.S. existing home sales (i.e. sales when a contract is closed) fell -1.5% from November and -34% year-over-year to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in December, the lowest level since November 2010. Home resales, which account for a significant share of U.S. housing sales, were down -34.0% on a year-on-year in December.
December marked the 11th consecutive month of home sales decrease --and the longest such stretch since 1999, as indicated in the National Association of Realtors data. For the year 2022, sales plunged -17.8%, biggest annual decrease since 2008, as last year’s rising interest rate environment dampened residential real estate market.
The median existing-home sales price rose +2.3% from a year ago to $366,900.
IYR in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 03, 2024
IYR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where IYR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IYR as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IYR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for IYR moved out of overbought territory on September 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where IYR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYR turned negative on October 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for IYR entered a downward trend on October 21, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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Category RealEstate