US existing home sales fell -34% y-o-y in December
U.S. existing home sales (i.e. sales when a contract is closed) fell -1.5% from November and -34% year-over-year to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in December, the lowest level since November 2010. Home resales, which account for a significant share of U.S. housing sales, were down -34.0% on a year-on-year in December.
December marked the 11th consecutive month of home sales decrease --and the longest such stretch since 1999, as indicated in the National Association of Realtors data. For the year 2022, sales plunged -17.8%, biggest annual decrease since 2008, as last year’s rising interest rate environment dampened residential real estate market.
The median existing-home sales price rose +2.3% from a year ago to $366,900.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
IYR in -1.72% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 01, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where IYR declined for three days, in 230 of 273 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for IYR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for IYR entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IYR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
IYR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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