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Jan 22, 2023
US existing home sales fell -34% y-o-y in December

US existing home sales fell -34% y-o-y in December

U.S. existing home sales (i.e. sales when a contract is closed) fell -1.5% from November and -34% year-over-year to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in December, the lowest level since November 2010. Home resales, which account for a significant share of U.S. housing sales, were down -34.0% on a year-on-year in December.

December marked the 11th consecutive month of home sales decrease --and the longest such stretch since 1999, as indicated in the National Association of Realtors data. For the year 2022, sales plunged -17.8%, biggest annual decrease since 2008, as last year’s rising interest rate environment dampened residential real estate market.

The median existing-home sales price rose +2.3% from a year ago to $366,900.

Related Ticker: IYR

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


IYR in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on August 11, 2026

IYR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where IYR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IYR as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

IYR moved above its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 290 cases where IYR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYR turned negative on July 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for IYR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z), Rithm Capital Corp (NYSE:RITM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index. The fund seeks to track the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index, which measures the performance of the real estate sector of the U.S. equity market, as defined by the "index provider". It generally invests at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares US Real Estate ETF ETF is 25.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 344.19M to 172.38B. WELL holds the highest valuation in this group at 172.38B. The lowest valued company is SEG at 344.19M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares US Real Estate ETF ETF was 5%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 20%, and the average quarterly price growth was 30%. AVB experienced the highest price growth at 179%, while IRM experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares US Real Estate ETF ETF was -0%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -34% and the average quarterly volume growth was -53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: -34 (-100 ... +100)
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