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Jul 03, 2019
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Usana (USNA, $63.62) shares drop -17%, following lower-than-expected estimates for fiscal Q2

Usana (USNA, $63.62) shares drop -17%, following lower-than-expected estimates for fiscal Q2

Usana Health Sciences shares declined more than -17% Wednesday, following the company’s release of preliminary fiscal second-quarter estimates that fell short of analysts' forecasts.

The multi-level marketer of nutritional products is now expecting second-quarter earnings in the range of 91 cents to 95 cents per share, below the $1.36 a share in the year-earlier period. Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting second-quarter earnings of $1.31 a share.

The company is estimating sales for the quarter to come in within a range of $253 million to $256 million, compared to analysts’ expectations of $307.4 million.

CEO Kevin Guest indicated that weakness in China throughout the second quarter proved to be more challenging for Usana than previously anticipated.

Related Ticker: USNA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


USNA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026

USNA moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 26 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on USNA as a result. In 63 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for USNA turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.

The 10-day moving average for USNA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USNA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 65 cases where USNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Following a +3.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USNA advanced for three days, in 162 of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

USNA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 96 of 158 cases where USNA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 15 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.478) is normal, around the industry mean (6.914). P/E Ratio (-11.551) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.137). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.698) is also within normal values, averaging (8.458). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.296) is also within normal values, averaging (5.003).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. USNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. USNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Kraft Heinz Company (The) (NYSE:KHC), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ:CPB), Beyond Meat Inc. (NASDAQ:BYND).

Industry description

Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Major Diversified Industry is 3.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 68.81K to 239.66B. NSRGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 239.66B. The lowest valued company is THRC at 68.81K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Major Diversified Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16%. STKH experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while BYND experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Major Diversified Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -64%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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published General Information

General Information

Develops and manufactures nutritional, personal care and weight-management products

Industry FoodMajorDiversified

Industry
Household Or Personal Care
Address
3838 West Parkway Boulevard
Phone
+1 801 954-7100
Employees
1570
Web
https://www.usana.com
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