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Feb 20, 2019
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Walmart's (WMT, $99.60) earnings look strong

Walmart's (WMT, $99.60) earnings look strong

Walmart published an impressive FY19 fourth quarter earnings report, recording revenue growth of over 3.1% on a y-o-y basis.

The company’s comparable-store sales recorded an impressive 4.2% growth rate on a y-o-y basis – an acceleration from the 3.4% growth achieved in Q3. Additionally, Walmart declared a 2% dividend increase, keeping with the quarterly-increasing dividend trend of the last 46 years.

But what impressed the street the most was the company's sustained growth momentum in the e-commerce segment, which reported impressive 43% y-o-y growth. In Q2 and Q3, the Company reported e-commerce sales growth of 40% and 43%, respectively. With this sustained growth momentum, the segment reported an impressive 40% y-o-y growth for the full year.

On the other hand, Walmart competitors like Target (TGT) reported e-commerce sales for November and December period were up 29% on a y-o-y basis. This is good news for Walmart as it suggests greater growth in its online sales than Target, although not on an exact quarter to quarter comparison.

Other peers like Costco’s (COST) e-commerce sales recorded 28% y-o-y growth, while Amazon's (AMZN) revenue from online stores recorded only 14% y-o-y increase in the fourth quarter.

In short, Walmart is looking good in its e-commerce segment and time will reveal how well it can beat competition from Target, Costco and Amazon.

Related Ticker: WMT

WMT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026

WMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WMT as a result. In 48 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMT just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where WMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The 10-day moving average for WMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +5.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 212 of 370 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 199 of 362 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.

WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WMT's P/B Ratio (10.312) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.837). WMT has a moderately high P/E Ratio (46.097) as compared to the industry average of (24.624). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.169) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 181.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 8.91K to 1.01T. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.01T. The lowest valued company is BIGGQ at 8.91K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 19%. DLTR experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while PSMT experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 75
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 36
SMR Rating: 48
Profit Risk Rating: 56
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a retail discount department store

Industry DiscountStores

Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
1 Customer Drive
Phone
+1 479 273-4000
Employees
2100000
Web
https://stock.walmart.com
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