Walmart (WMT, $101.53) Topped Earnings Estimates, But Missed Revenue Expectations in Q3
Walmart’s third quarter results are out. While the retail giant beat earnings estimates, revenue fell short of analysts' expectations.
Earnings per share came in at $1.08 (adjusted) versus estimate of $1.01. Revenues increased +1.4 percent to $124.89 billion from $123.18 billion a year ago, and missing expectations of $125.55 billion. (Analysts' expectations given according to a survey by Refinitiv).
Walmart’s U.S. same-store sales grew +3.4%, higher than expected +3.1%.
International sales declined -2.6% during the third quarter to $28.8 billion - one of the factors could be its selling of the majority of its Brazilian business to private-equity firm Advent International.
The company’s online sales surged +43% during the third quarter. It has been upping the ante on its digital presence in recent years. Most recently, it acquired retailer Eloquii and intimates online retailer Bare Necessities. In August, it bought a controlling stake in Indian e-commerce company Flipkart for $16 billion. According to CFO Brett Biggs, the company is on pace to achieve +40% growth in e-commerce sales for the full year (as mentioned by CNBC).
Gearing up for the holiday season, Walmart is offering potentially faster shopping experience at its physical stores by providing mobile scanners so shoppers can pay on spot - i.e., without having to queue up at registers. It is also providing store maps on its app so customers can navigate aisles and sections of its stores/supermarkets more easily.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
WMT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 30, 2026
WMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 31 cases where WMT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 212 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 194 of 362 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WMT as a result. In 28 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WMT turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 17 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 35%.
WMT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.780) is normal, around the industry mean (7.191). P/E Ratio (39.395) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.397). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.169) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
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