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Nov 15, 2018
Walmart (WMT, $101.53) Topped Earnings Estimates, But Missed Revenue Expectations in Q3

Walmart (WMT, $101.53) Topped Earnings Estimates, But Missed Revenue Expectations in Q3

Walmart’s third quarter results are out. While the retail giant beat earnings estimates, revenue fell short of analysts' expectations.

Earnings per share  came in at $1.08 (adjusted) versus estimate of $1.01. Revenues increased +1.4 percent to $124.89 billion from $123.18 billion a year ago, and missing expectations of  $125.55 billion. (Analysts' expectations given according to a survey by Refinitiv).

Walmart’s U.S. same-store sales grew +3.4%, higher than expected +3.1%.

International sales declined -2.6% during the third quarter to $28.8 billion - one of the factors could be its selling of the majority of its Brazilian business to private-equity firm Advent International.

The company’s online sales surged +43% during the third quarter. It has been upping the ante on its digital presence in recent years. Most recently, it acquired retailer Eloquii and intimates online retailer Bare Necessities. In August, it bought a controlling stake in Indian e-commerce company Flipkart for $16 billion. According to CFO Brett Biggs, the company is on pace to achieve +40% growth in e-commerce sales for the full year (as mentioned by CNBC).

Gearing up for the holiday season, Walmart is offering potentially faster shopping experience at its physical stores by providing mobile scanners so shoppers can pay on spot - i.e., without having to queue up at registers. It is also providing store maps on its app so customers can navigate aisles and sections of its stores/supermarkets more easily.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: WMT

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


WMT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026

WMT moved above its 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WMT as a result. In of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMT just turned positive on July 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where WMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for WMT entered a downward trend on July 31, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.785) is normal, around the industry mean (7.669). P/E Ratio (40.849) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.305). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.422) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.906). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.281) is also within normal values, averaging (1.064).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 165.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.78K to 923.22B. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 923.22B. The lowest valued company is TUEMQ at 1.78K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. TGT experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while DG experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was -50%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 77
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 62
Seasonality Score: -30 (-100 ... +100)
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Walmart (WMT, $101.53) Topped Earnings Estimates, But Missed Revenue Expectations in Q3