Walmart (WMT, $122.01) misses Q1 earnings expectations, despite revenue beat
Walmart posted its Q1 earnings that missed analysts’ expectations. While its growth is strong, inflation proved to be a headwind to bottom line.
The retail giant’s Q1 earnings came in at $1.30, below the Street expectations of $1.48.
Total revenue rose to $141.57 billion from $138.31 billion a year earlier, above analysts’ estimates of $138.94 billion. Net sales in the quarter rose +2.3% (+2.6% in constant currency) from the year-ago quarter to $140.29 billion.
The company mentioned that unexpectedly high fuel costs and higher amounts of inventory and have dampened its profit margins.
Momentum Indicator for WMT turns negative, indicating new downward trend
WMT saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on July 08, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 71 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 71 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WMT turned negative on July 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
WMT moved below its 50-day moving average on July 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 14, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
WMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.058) is normal, around the industry mean (8.317). P/E Ratio (40.637) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.590). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.643) is also within normal values, averaging (2.910). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.120) is also within normal values, averaging (1.549).
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General Information
a retail discount department store
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