Walmart (WMT, $137.54) beat Q4 earnings expectations
Walmart posted its fourth-quarter earnings and sales that surpassed expectations. The retail behemoth also boosted its dividend.
The company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $1.53, beating the FactSet consensus of $1.50.
Revenue of $152.87 billion was up from $152.08 billion, and above the FactSet consensus for $151.72 billion. E-commerce sales rose +1% year-over-year.
Walmart International sales fell -22.6% to $27 billion, impacted by $10.1 billion due to divestitures.
The company’s U.S. comp sales, excluding fuel, rose +5.6% with transactions having increased +3.1% and average ticket up +2.4%. The FactSet consensus forecast for a U.S. comp sales increase of 6%.
Walmart’s projection for the full-year 2023 U.S. comp sales growth is slightly above +3%, excluding fuel, and EPS growth in the mid-single digits. The FactSet consensus expectation for U.S. comp growth is 2.7% and EPS is $6.70, implying about about 4% growth.
Walmart also hiked its annual dividend about 2% to $2.24 per share for fiscal 2023. The first installment of 56 cents per share will be paid on April 4 to shareholders of record as of March 18.
WMT's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for WMT moved out of oversold territory on May 26, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where WMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 295 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 19, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WMT as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
WMT moved below its 50-day moving average on May 24, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 30, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 08, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.534) is normal, around the industry mean (56.962). WMT has a moderately high P/E Ratio (35.842) as compared to the industry average of (23.074). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.491) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.962). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.650) is also within normal values, averaging (1.153).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a retail discount department store
Industry DiscountStores
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +0.96% | ||
| COST - WMT | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.00% | ||
| DG - WMT | 51% Loosely correlated | +2.63% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.57% | ||
| DLTR - WMT | 47% Loosely correlated | +3.13% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 40% Loosely correlated | +2.13% | ||
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