Walmart (WMT, $137.54) beat Q4 earnings expectations
Walmart posted its fourth-quarter earnings and sales that surpassed expectations. The retail behemoth also boosted its dividend.
The company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $1.53, beating the FactSet consensus of $1.50.
Revenue of $152.87 billion was up from $152.08 billion, and above the FactSet consensus for $151.72 billion. E-commerce sales rose +1% year-over-year.
Walmart International sales fell -22.6% to $27 billion, impacted by $10.1 billion due to divestitures.
The company’s U.S. comp sales, excluding fuel, rose +5.6% with transactions having increased +3.1% and average ticket up +2.4%. The FactSet consensus forecast for a U.S. comp sales increase of 6%.
Walmart’s projection for the full-year 2023 U.S. comp sales growth is slightly above +3%, excluding fuel, and EPS growth in the mid-single digits. The FactSet consensus expectation for U.S. comp growth is 2.7% and EPS is $6.70, implying about about 4% growth.
Walmart also hiked its annual dividend about 2% to $2.24 per share for fiscal 2023. The first installment of 56 cents per share will be paid on April 4 to shareholders of record as of March 18.
WMT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 30, 2026
WMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 31 cases where WMT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 212 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 194 of 362 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WMT as a result. In 28 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WMT turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 17 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 35%.
WMT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.780) is normal, around the industry mean (7.191). P/E Ratio (39.395) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.397). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.169) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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a retail discount department store
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