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published in Blogs
Oct 13, 2020

Walmart (WMT, $145.59) gets price target hike from Cowen

Analysts at Cowen reaffirmed their Outperform rating on shares of  retail giant Walmart .

The analysts also boosted their price target to $160, up from $155. The $160 price target is based on ~29x analysts FY22 EPS estimate of $5.50, compared to consensus estimates of $4.99 per share.

They cited  Walmart’s ability to accelerate its digital ad segment & boost e-commerce profitability. Analysts expect ad business revenue could reach $3.4bn+ by FY23 yielding 1.8% share of the digital ad market & 5% to EPS. Tailwinds include decisions to have an in-house media group, the launch of various tools and analytics for greater control and insights for advertisers, and strong early reads from advertisers.

According to Tickeron, Momentum Indicator for WMT turns positive, indicating new upward trend

WMT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 30, 2020. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 50 of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 53%.

Current price $145.53 is above $136.81 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 09/10/20 - 10/12/20, the price experienced a +5% Uptrend. During the week of 10/05/20 - 10/12/20, the stock enjoyed a +2% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMT just turned positive on October 01, 2020. Looking at past instances where WMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.

Following a +2.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 173 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 142 of 315 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 45%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for WMT moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2020. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 10 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 23%.

The Stochastic Indicator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 30%.

WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 30, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 72%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.06 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. WMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 30 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WMT's P/B Ratio (5.43) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.45). P/E Ratio (22.99) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.34). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.50) is also within normal values, averaging (0.59). Dividend Yield (1.85) settles around the average of (1.11) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.68) is also within normal values, averaging (0.43).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

 

Related Ticker: WMT

WMT in +1.07% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on June 14, 2024

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 324 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for WMT moved out of overbought territory on June 07, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 52 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WMT turned negative on June 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. WMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.631) is normal, around the industry mean (10.395). P/E Ratio (28.764) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.372). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.039) is also within normal values, averaging (2.791). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NYSE:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR), Big Lots (NYSE:BIG).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 72.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.78K to 539.08B. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 539.08B. The lowest valued company is TUEMQ at 1.78K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. OLLI experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while BIG experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was -72%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 54
Seasonality Score: 45 (-100 ... +100)
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WMTDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a retail discount department store

Industry DiscountStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
702 S.W. 8th Street
Phone
+1 479 273-4000
Employees
2100000
Web
https://stock.walmart.com
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