Weekly Market Recap: Gold Surges, Stocks Mixed, Cryptocurrencies Gain Momentum
As the trading week came to a close on Friday, there were notable movements across various asset classes:
Gold emerged as a standout performer, with the SPDR® Gold Shares ETF (GLD) gaining +4.53% over the course of the week. This surge in gold prices may have been driven by a combination of factors, including inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and demand for safe-haven assets amidst market uncertainty.
In contrast, major stock market indexes experienced mixed results. While the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) posted a modest gain of +0.46%, the broader market indices such as the SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and the SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) saw slight declines of -0.22% and -0.85% respectively. The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) also ended the week on a negative note, with a decline of -1.48%.
Within the technology sector, ETFs such as the First Trust NASDAQ-100-Tech Sector ETF (QTEC) and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) faced selling pressure, declining by -2.52% and -4.05% respectively. These losses may reflect investor concerns about valuations and potential regulatory risks facing tech companies.
On the cryptocurrency front, Ethereum (ETH.X) and Bitcoin (BTC.X) both experienced significant gains, rising by +14.00% and +10.21% respectively. This bullish momentum in cryptocurrencies may have been fueled by growing institutional adoption, positive sentiment from retail investors, and increasing interest in blockchain technology.
However, not all cryptocurrencies fared well, as XRP (XRP.X), Litecoin (LTC.X), and Bitcoin Cash (BCH.X) all ended the week with losses, declining by -3.59%, -4.43%, and -13.56% respectively. These fluctuations highlight the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market and the importance of careful risk management for investors.
Commodities exhibited mixed performance, with the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG) and the United States Oil ETF (USO) both seeing declines of -1.77% and -2.13% respectively. Despite these losses, the SPDR® Gold Shares ETF (GLD) remained resilient, posting a solid gain of +4.53% for the week.
Overall, the week's trading activity underscored the ongoing volatility and uncertainty in financial markets, driven by a combination of economic, geopolitical, and regulatory factors. Investors should remain cautious and diversified in their investment approach, while closely monitoring developments in key asset classes.
GLD in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on December 18, 2024
GLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where GLD's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GLD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 290 cases where GLD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLD as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GLD turned negative on December 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
GLD moved below its 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Industry description
General Information
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket