Weekly Market Recap: Gold Surges, Stocks Mixed, Cryptocurrencies Gain Momentum
As the trading week came to a close on Friday, there were notable movements across various asset classes:
Gold emerged as a standout performer, with the SPDR® Gold Shares ETF (GLD) gaining +4.53% over the course of the week. This surge in gold prices may have been driven by a combination of factors, including inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and demand for safe-haven assets amidst market uncertainty.
In contrast, major stock market indexes experienced mixed results. While the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) posted a modest gain of +0.46%, the broader market indices such as the SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and the SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) saw slight declines of -0.22% and -0.85% respectively. The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) also ended the week on a negative note, with a decline of -1.48%.
Within the technology sector, ETFs such as the First Trust NASDAQ-100-Tech Sector ETF (QTEC) and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) faced selling pressure, declining by -2.52% and -4.05% respectively. These losses may reflect investor concerns about valuations and potential regulatory risks facing tech companies.
On the cryptocurrency front, Ethereum (ETH.X) and Bitcoin (BTC.X) both experienced significant gains, rising by +14.00% and +10.21% respectively. This bullish momentum in cryptocurrencies may have been fueled by growing institutional adoption, positive sentiment from retail investors, and increasing interest in blockchain technology.
However, not all cryptocurrencies fared well, as XRP (XRP.X), Litecoin (LTC.X), and Bitcoin Cash (BCH.X) all ended the week with losses, declining by -3.59%, -4.43%, and -13.56% respectively. These fluctuations highlight the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market and the importance of careful risk management for investors.
Commodities exhibited mixed performance, with the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG) and the United States Oil ETF (USO) both seeing declines of -1.77% and -2.13% respectively. Despite these losses, the SPDR® Gold Shares ETF (GLD) remained resilient, posting a solid gain of +4.53% for the week.
Overall, the week's trading activity underscored the ongoing volatility and uncertainty in financial markets, driven by a combination of economic, geopolitical, and regulatory factors. Investors should remain cautious and diversified in their investment approach, while closely monitoring developments in key asset classes.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
GLD's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GLD moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 37 of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLD as a result. In 65 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GLD turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 63%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
GLD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 54 cases where GLD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
GLD moved above its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in 295 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 286 of 310 cases where GLD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
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General Information
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket
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