Chinese social media company Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) is set to announce earnings on Wednesday, November 7 and the stock has been defying the odds in a certain manner. The stock has been trending lower since February within a clearly defined trend channel, but the company has some incredible fundamentals.
The daily chart shows the trend channel and how the stock has moved methodically lower over the last nine months. The upper rail of the channel is in sync with the 50-day moving average and has helped keep the trend going.
What is really odd about Weibo, in my view, is that the company’s fundamental ratings are really good. Looking at Investor’s Business Daily’s EPS and SMR ratings, the company gets a 99 on the EPS rating and an A on the SMR rating. Those are both the best ratings you can get.
The EPS rating measures a company’s earnings growth over the last three years as well as in the last few quarters. It compares them to all other companies in the IBD database and assigns a rating between 1 and 99 with 99 being the best.
The SMR rating measures a company’s sales growth, profit margin, and return on equity. The ratings range from A to E with A being the best.
Turning to one more rating from IBD, the company’s Relative Strength rating is currently at 6. The rating measures how the stock price has done compared to all other stocks in the database and assigns a rating between 1 and 99. A rating of a 6 means that 94% of stocks in the database have performed better than Weibo.
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where WB advanced for three days, in of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 24, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WB as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WB just turned positive on April 22, 2024. Looking at past instances where WB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
WB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 24, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for WB entered a downward trend on April 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.712) is normal, around the industry mean (19.638). P/E Ratio (5.571) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.308). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.822) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.285) is also within normal values, averaging (110.312).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of advertising and online marketing services
Industry InternetSoftwareServices