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Aug 31, 2019
Well-defined trend line helping move Delta Air Lines higher

Well-defined trend line helping move Delta Air Lines higher

Over the last eight months a trend channel has formed on Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL). The channel is very well defined and the lower rail connects the lows for 2019 while the parallel upper rail connects the highs from April and July. The stock is hovering just above the lower rail at this time and it looks like it is ready to rally again.

The daily stochastic readings have been hovering in the bottom half of their range since the beginning of August. The indicators did make a bullish crossover on August 28 and that could be a positive sign for the stock. We see that the indicators were also in the lower half of the range for most of May also before a bullish crossover came just before the stock rallied sharply.

It is also worth noting that the 10-day RSI was just above the 30 level and the lowest it had been since the end of May before the stock turned higher.

In addition to the bullish crossover from the stochastic readings, the Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Delta on August 27. The signal showed a confidence level of 70% and calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month. Past predictions on Delta have successful 81% of the time.

From the Tickeron Technical Analysis Overview we see that the lower Bollinger Band was broken and a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band. This indicates a buy or call consideration for traders. In 27 of 39 cases where Delta’s price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

On the fundamental side, Delta saw a nice jump in earnings growth for the second quarter and earnings are expected see a nice jump for the year. The EPS jumped by 32% in the second quarter of 2019 compared to the second quarter of 2018. Analysts expect earnings to grow by 27% for 2019 as a whole.

Revenue has not been growing as fast as earnings, but it has been growing never the less. In the last three years sales have increased by an average of 5% per year and they jumped by 6% in the second quarter.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 51, indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. 

The return on equity for Delta is at 29.7% and the profit margin is at 11.4%.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. Delta’s current P/E ratio is only 8.38.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for Delta is 39, indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Looking at the sentiment toward Delta we see average readings. There are 20 analysts following the stock with 14 “buy” ratings and six “hold” ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 70% and right in the middle of the average range between 65% and 70%.

The put/call ratio is at 3.7 currently and that is slightly skewed toward the pessimistic side. The short interest did jump by almost four million shares in the first half of August which indicates increasing pessimism.

With the technical picture and the fundamentals looking good, I don’t see why Delta won’t move higher in the coming month.

Related Ticker: DAL

DAL's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for DAL moved out of overbought territory on July 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 33 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DAL as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DAL turned negative on July 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAL advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 317 cases where DAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.614) is normal, around the industry mean (3.298). P/E Ratio (14.378) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.821). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.997). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.834) is also within normal values, averaging (0.637).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 11.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.36K to 1.51T. AZULD holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.51T. The lowest valued company is KLMR at 9.36K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -9%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. RYAAY experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while FLYX experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was 46%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 86%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: -30 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of scheduled air transportation for passengers, freight, and mail services

Industry Airlines

Profile
Details
Industry
Airlines
Address
Post Office Box 20706
Phone
+1 404 715-2600
Employees
103000
Web
https://www.delta.com
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