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Aug 31, 2019
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Well-defined trend line helping move Delta Air Lines higher

Well-defined trend line helping move Delta Air Lines higher

Over the last eight months a trend channel has formed on Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL). The channel is very well defined and the lower rail connects the lows for 2019 while the parallel upper rail connects the highs from April and July. The stock is hovering just above the lower rail at this time and it looks like it is ready to rally again.

The daily stochastic readings have been hovering in the bottom half of their range since the beginning of August. The indicators did make a bullish crossover on August 28 and that could be a positive sign for the stock. We see that the indicators were also in the lower half of the range for most of May also before a bullish crossover came just before the stock rallied sharply.

It is also worth noting that the 10-day RSI was just above the 30 level and the lowest it had been since the end of May before the stock turned higher.

In addition to the bullish crossover from the stochastic readings, the Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Delta on August 27. The signal showed a confidence level of 70% and calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month. Past predictions on Delta have successful 81% of the time.

From the Tickeron Technical Analysis Overview we see that the lower Bollinger Band was broken and a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band. This indicates a buy or call consideration for traders. In 27 of 39 cases where Delta’s price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

On the fundamental side, Delta saw a nice jump in earnings growth for the second quarter and earnings are expected see a nice jump for the year. The EPS jumped by 32% in the second quarter of 2019 compared to the second quarter of 2018. Analysts expect earnings to grow by 27% for 2019 as a whole.

Revenue has not been growing as fast as earnings, but it has been growing never the less. In the last three years sales have increased by an average of 5% per year and they jumped by 6% in the second quarter.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 51, indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. 

The return on equity for Delta is at 29.7% and the profit margin is at 11.4%.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. Delta’s current P/E ratio is only 8.38.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for Delta is 39, indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Looking at the sentiment toward Delta we see average readings. There are 20 analysts following the stock with 14 “buy” ratings and six “hold” ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 70% and right in the middle of the average range between 65% and 70%.

The put/call ratio is at 3.7 currently and that is slightly skewed toward the pessimistic side. The short interest did jump by almost four million shares in the first half of August which indicates increasing pessimism.

With the technical picture and the fundamentals looking good, I don’t see why Delta won’t move higher in the coming month.

Related Ticker: DAL

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


DAL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026

DAL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 30 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DAL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DAL as a result. In 56 of 72 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DAL just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where DAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Following a +6.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAL advanced for three days, in 224 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

DAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 237 of 322 cases where DAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.461) is normal, around the industry mean (2.025). P/E Ratio (13.450) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.193) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.749) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 9.96B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 384.9K to 1.51T. AZULD holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.51T. The lowest valued company is AIBEF at 384.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. ULCC experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while AZUL experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -50%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 40
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of scheduled air transportation for passengers, freight, and mail services

Industry Airlines

Industry
Airlines
Address
Post Office Box 20706
Phone
+1 404 715-2600
Employees
103000
Web
https://www.delta.com
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Well-defined trend line helping move Delta Air Lines higher