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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 10, 2018

Will Mounting Debt and Plunging Sales Force Sears (SHLD, $0.59) Into a Bankruptcy Filing?

Sears Holding , once a bustling retail chain in the U.S., might be preparing its bankruptcy filing, according to a Wall Street Journal report that cited anonymous sources familiar with the matter.

According to the report, the company has hired the services of M-III Partners to navigate the bankruptcy proceedings, as the retail giant is saddled with $134 million debt due on Oct. 15. Sears has had troubles meeting its debt obligations for a while, even as CEO Eddie Lampert drove several asset liquidations.

Hundreds of Sears and Kmart stores were shuttered down in recent years, amid plunging sales. As of latest quarter, the company has roughly 900 Sears and Kmart stores, compared with more than 4,000 when it merged with Kmart in 2005. Sears has apparently failed to catch up with the e-commerce boom spearheaded by Amazon coupled with traditional player Walmart’s expansion. According to some analysts, the company would need to generate more than $1 billion a year to keep operating - a target that looks too far off for the retailer to meet. Sears has burned through $1.8 billion in cash in its operations during 2017 alone.

Its CEO Eddie Lampert  has, over time, tried to salvage the company by chipping in more than $1 billion into the retailer when other sources dried up. This time, if Lampert or other sources are unable to extricate Sears out of its debt troubles and dwindling business, the company could file for a bankruptcy this week, as some reports seem to suggest.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: SHLD

SHLD in +2.23% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 24, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SHLD advanced for three days, in of 207 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 30 cases where SHLD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 24, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHLD as a result. In of 53 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SHLD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

SHLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 278 cases where SHLD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHLD moved out of overbought territory on October 09, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHLD turned negative on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 29 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHLD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Antero Midstream Corp (NYSE:AM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Global X Defense Tech Index. The fund invests at least 80% of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes (if any), in the securities of the Global X Defense Tech Index, which may include common stocks, American Depositary Receipts ("ADRs") and Global Depositary Receipts ("GDRs") based on the securities in the underlying index. The underlying index is owned and was developed by Global X Management Company LLC, an affiliate of the fund and the fund's investment adviser. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Global X Defense Tech ETF ETF is 63.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 35.81M to 438.01B. PLTR holds the highest valuation in this group at 438.01B. The lowest valued company is CHG at 35.81M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Global X Defense Tech ETF ETF was 11%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 25%, and the average quarterly price growth was 172%. RTX experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while RCAT experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Global X Defense Tech ETF ETF was 70%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 81% and the average quarterly volume growth was 40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 35
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 39
Seasonality Score: 32 (-100 ... +100)
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