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Oct 28, 2019

With Amazon and Netflix out of the way, fellow FAANG stocks set for earnings releases in the week ahead

Amazon reported earnings on October 24 and the company came up short on the earnings estimate, but beat on the revenue side. The stock dropped sharply when it opened for trading the next day, but the stock rallied throughout the day and ended up only losing a little over 1%. Fellow FAANG member Netflix reported on October 16 and it beat its EPS estimate and its revenue estimate, but came up short on subscriber growth. Netflix jumped after its earnings report, but fell in the subsequent days.

With those two FAANG members out of the way, this coming week will bring earnings reports from Facebook (Nasdaq: FB), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), and Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOG). Alphabet is set to release results on October 28 and Apple and Facebook will both report on October 30.

Looking at these three stocks from a fundamental perspective based on Tickeron’s fundamental analysis tools, we get an idea of how these companies compare to other investment opportunities. I put together the following table to show what each company is expected to report compared to last year and where each company ranks in various categories.

The first thing that jumped out at me is the fact that Apple and Alphabet are expected to see earnings decline slightly from last year’s results. This reflects the economy we are in to some degree and it reflects the impact the trade war is having on tech companies. We see that Facebook is the only one with a valuation that is a little higher than average and that could be a concern.

All three companies rank above average in terms of the SMR (sales growth, profit margin, and return on equity) ratings. Apple and Alphabet are both better than average in terms of the Profit vs. Risk rating while Apple and Facebook are above average in the P/E Growth Ratings. The only rating out of all of them that is in the bottom 20th percentile is Alphabet’s P/E Growth rating.

Looking at different metrics from Investor’s Business Daily, we see pretty solid ratings for all three companies. Alphabet gets green marks across the board with the composite rating, the EPS rating, and the SMR rating all falling in the top 20th percentile and the Relative Price Strength rating is in the top 25th percentile.

Apple’s composite, Relative Price Strength, and SMR rating are all in the upper 20 percent of readings, but the EPS rating is in the average range. Facebook doesn’t have any ratings in the top 2oth percentile, but the composite, RS rating and SMR rating are all above average while the EPS rating is in the average range.

The sentiment indicators for the three show pretty bullish readings for the most part, but that is to be expected given how the stocks have performed. All three stocks have been in the top 25th percentile in terms of price performance for the past year, so bullish sentiment is to be expected.

The one area that stood out was the analysts’ ratings for Apple. There are 42 analysts covering the stock and only 22 have the stock rated as a “buy”. There are 15 “hold” ratings and five “sell” ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 52.4% and that is below average. The short interest ratios are all skewed to the bullish side and the analysts ratings for Facebook and Alphabet are both extremely optimistic.

Looking at the weekly charts for the three, Facebook just went through a pullback and its overbought/oversold indicators are considerably lower than the other two. Alphabet has been trending higher since June and its indicators are approaching overbought levels. Apple is in overbought territory based on its weekly stochastic readings and its 10-week RSI.

I did find the weekly chart for Apple particularly interesting.

We see that the stock was trending higher within a trend channel in 2017 and through most of 2018. The stock broke below the lower rail last fall but then rallied back. What used to be the lower rail of the former trend channel then acted as resistance in April of this year and it appears as though a new trend channel has formed. The stock has rallied sharply since May and the stock just moved above the former lower rail.

Related Ticker: AAPL

AAPL in -1.94% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on April 01, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where AAPL declined for three days, in of 265 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAPL as a result. In of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for AAPL moved below the 200-day moving average on March 14, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

The Aroon Indicator for AAPL entered a downward trend on March 18, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAPL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAPL just turned positive on March 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where AAPL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAPL advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AAPL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAPL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (35.461) is normal, around the industry mean (75.190). P/E Ratio (26.429) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.977). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.092) is also within normal values, averaging (1.922). AAPL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.006) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (6.925) is also within normal values, averaging (65.546).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO).

Industry description

TVs, telephones, washing machines, home speakers and even home-office equipment like computers and printers…the list is virtually endless when it comes to consumer electronics and appliances. And, with ‘smarthomes’ increasingly becoming the reality, we could see a sharp surge in high-tech gadgets (including robotic appliances) making their way into our homes– and therefore spelling plenty opportunities in the related industries. Consumers account for 70% of US GDP, and their purchases of high-functioning electronics could make significant dents in the economy’s health. Sony Corp., Whirlpool and iRobot are some of the major consumer electronics/appliances makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electronics/Appliances Industry is 83.3B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 129.13K to 2.62T. AAPL holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.62T. The lowest valued company is IALS at 129.13K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electronics/Appliances Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. HAPBF experienced the highest price growth at 24%, while HLOC experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electronics/Appliances Industry was -24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -38% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 63
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of mobile communication, media devices, personal computers, and portable digital music players

Industry ElectronicsAppliances

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