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May 27, 2022
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Workday (WDAY, $168.96) fiscal Q1 earnings miss analysts' expectations

Workday (WDAY, $168.96) fiscal Q1 earnings miss analysts' expectations

Workday reported  its quarterly earnings that missed analysts’ expectations.

The software company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $0.83 per share, falling short of analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.85.

Revenue rose +22.1% from the year-ago quarter to $1.43 billion during the quarter, vs. consensus estimate of $1.43 billion.

Looking ahead, Workday projected an adjusted operating margin of 17.5% on revenue of $1.517 billion to $1.519 billion for its fiscal second quarter of 2023. For the full fiscal year 2023, the company is expecting revenue of $6.187 billion to $6.2 billion.

Workday’s outlook for subscription revenue is $1.353 billion to $1.355 billion in its second quarter and $4.537 billion to $5.557 billion for the full year, thereby implying + 22% year-over-year growth for both.

Related Ticker: WDAY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


WDAY in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026

WDAY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 27 of the 34 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for WDAY moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 59 cases where WDAY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WDAY turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WDAY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WDAY as a result. In 62 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

WDAY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WDAY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +6.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WDAY advanced for three days, in 173 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 105 of 167 cases where WDAY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WDAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.380) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.586). P/E Ratio (40.207) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.399). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.689) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.773) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WDAY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.51B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 271.26B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 271.26B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. AEYE experienced the highest price growth at 61%, while YMT experienced the biggest fall at -45%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 42%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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General Information

a provider of software based enterprise business solutions

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
6110 Stoneridge Mall Road
Phone
+1 925 951-9000
Employees
21000
Web
https://www.workday.com
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