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Feb 15, 2019
XPO (XPO, $60.40) misses Q4 estimates; sales take a hit from business reduction on largest customer

XPO (XPO, $60.40) misses Q4 estimates; sales take a hit from business reduction on largest customer

XPO Logistics Inc. missed fourth-quarter earnings & sales expectations, causing its stock to plummet around -17% Friday.

The transportation and warehousing company reported adjusted earnings of 72 cents a share, lower than analysts' expectations of 84 cents.

Quarterly revenue came in at $4.39 billion, missing analysts’ estimate of $4.56 billion. XPO indicated that reduction of business from its largest customer pulled back revenue by $46 million in the fourth quarter.

For full year 2019, XPO is predicting revenue growth in the range of 3% to 5%, with organic revenue growth of 4% to 6%. The company portends that shrinking of business from its largest customer could erode sales by roughly $600 million this year.

Related Ticker: XPO

Aroon Indicator for XPO shows an upward move is likely

XPO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 24, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 217 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 217 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where XPO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XPO as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPO advanced for three days, in of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XPO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XPO turned negative on June 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XPO moved below its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XPO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. XPO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XPO's P/B Ratio (12.771) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.452). P/E Ratio (69.137) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.689). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.228) is also within normal values, averaging (36.064). XPO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.011). P/S Ratio (2.879) is also within normal values, averaging (2.009).

Industry description

The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucking Industry is 7.8B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 103.86K to 45.01B. ODFL holds the highest valuation in this group at 45.01B. The lowest valued company is YGMZ at 103.86K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucking Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 34%. ETS experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while TOPP experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucking Industry was -28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -48% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 70
P/E Growth Rating: 22
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of logistics and other transportation services

Industry Trucking

Profile
Details
Industry
Trucking
Address
Five American Lane
Phone
+1 855 976-6951
Employees
38000
Web
https://www.xpo.com
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XPO (XPO, $60.40) misses Q4 estimates; sales take a hit from business reduction on largest customer