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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 22, 2023

Zscaler (ZS, $113.02) was the month's biggest loser, descending -14.61%

Zscaler Inc. (ZS) is a cloud-based cybersecurity company that offers a range of services, including web and email security, data protection, and application delivery. Despite the company's strong fundamentals and market positioning, ZS experienced a significant decline in February 2023, becoming the month's biggest loser.

The stock's price dropped -14.61% to $113.02 per share, which is a substantial decline for a single month. Furthermore, among the 940 stocks analyzed in the Packaged Software Industry during that period, 617 of them (65.63%) were in a downtrend, suggesting that ZS was not alone in experiencing market headwinds.

Adding to the negative sentiment was the Momentum Indicator, which turned negative on February 16, 2023. The Momentum Indicator measures the rate of change of a stock's price and can signal a change in trend. When it moves below the 0 level, it indicates that the stock could be shifting to a new downward trend.

Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence tool for technical analysis, looked at 76 similar instances where the Momentum Indicator turned negative for ZS. It found that in 59 of these cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. This means that the odds of a decline for ZS were at 78%, suggesting that the stock's downward trend may continue.

Zscaler's recent decline and negative Momentum Indicator signal suggest that the stock may be entering a new downward trend. 

Related Ticker: ZS

ZS in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024

The 10-day moving average for ZS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

ZS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZS advanced for three days, in of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 293 cases where ZS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ZS moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 51 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ZS as a result. In of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ZS turned negative on October 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ZS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ZS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (30.030) is normal, around the industry mean (30.698). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (14.903) is also within normal values, averaging (55.771).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (null:MSFT), Oracle Corp (null:ORCL), Salesforce (null:CRM), Adobe (null:ADBE), Intuit (null:INTU), Uber Technologies (null:UBER), SERVICENOW (null:NOW), Shopify (null:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (null:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (null:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. PHUN experienced the highest price growth at 123%, while HPTO experienced the biggest fall at -89%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 3% and the average quarterly volume growth was 65%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

an antivirus & cloud security platform

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
120 Holger Way
Phone
+1 408 533-0288
Employees
5962
Web
https://www.zscaler.com
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