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AAL vs SKYW
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAL is a Hold and SKYW is a StrongBuy.
Momentum Indicator for AAL turns negative, indicating new downward trend
AAL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 62 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for AAL moved below the 200-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Aroon Indicator for AAL entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 59 cases where AAL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAL just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where AAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +4.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in 218 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
AAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 5 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AAL's P/B Ratio (-2.100) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.862). AAL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-25.714) as compared to the industry average of (5.677). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.144) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
SKYW sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On October 21, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for SKYW moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 42 of the 51 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SKYW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +3.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SKYW advanced for three days, in 237 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
SKYW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SKYW as a result. In 54 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SKYW turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
SKYW moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SKYW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for SKYW entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.346) is normal, around the industry mean (1.862). P/E Ratio (9.330) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.677). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.420) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.944) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SKYW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
AAL | SKYW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AAL's Valuation (5) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SKYW (46). This means that AAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
SKYW's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AAL (100). This means that SKYW’s stock grew somewhat faster than AAL’s over the last 12 months.
AAL's SMR Rating (16) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SKYW (55). This means that AAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
SKYW's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as AAL (60). This means that SKYW’s stock grew similarly to AAL’s over the last 12 months.
SKYW's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AAL (99). This means that SKYW’s stock grew somewhat faster than AAL’s over the last 12 months.
| AAL | SKYW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 75% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SKYW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SKYW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SKYW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SKYW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AAL (@Airlines) experienced а +3.77% price change this week, while SKYW (@Airlines) price change was +1.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -1.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAL is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
SKYW is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-1.87% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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AAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAL has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AAL jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
SKYW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKYW has been closely correlated with UAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKYW jumps, then UAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKYW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYW | 100% | +1.57% | ||
| UAL - SKYW | 74% Closely correlated | +0.32% | ||
| AAL - SKYW | 70% Closely correlated | +2.98% | ||
| ALGT - SKYW | 69% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| JBLU - SKYW | 62% Loosely correlated | -9.56% | ||
| ULCC - SKYW | 60% Loosely correlated | +5.16% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| GSEW | 96.58 | 0.22 | +0.22% |
| Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSEW) | |||
| NBFC | 49.28 | 0.08 | +0.17% |
| Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF (NBFC) | |||
| BCSM | 24.59 | -0.13 | -0.51% |
| Baron SMID Cap ETF (BCSM) | |||
| GAUG | 42.18 | -0.25 | -0.59% |
| FT Vest U.S. Equity Moderate Buffer ETF - August (GAUG) | |||
| ARMH | 8.99 | -0.70 | -7.22% |
| ARM HOLDINGS PLC ADRHEDGED | |||